EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
YUMC
Yum China Holdings, Inc.
YUMC has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
YUMC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
YUMC's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
YUMC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $49.21 | — |
| Current | 17x | $49.21 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $52.36 | +6.4% |
| Fair | 23x | $67.05 | +36% |
| Expensive | 32x | $92.59 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
YUMC has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
YUMC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
YUMC has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
YUMC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.26 | +13% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.88 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.73 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.61 | +9.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.51 | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.41 | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.39 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.33 | +18% |
YUMC has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over YUMC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over YUMC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
YUMC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3B | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +4.1% |
YUMC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.6% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.8% | +1.4 points |
YUMC's operating margin was 13% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
YUMC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $359M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $299M | +3.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $406M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | -$116M | -$101M |
| Q3 2025 | $351M | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $290M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $315M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | -$15M | +$57M |
YUMC has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
YUMC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -6M shares |
| 1 year | -7% | -26M shares |
| 3 years | -18% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -92M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -45M shares |
YUMC has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $263M |
| Q2 2026 | $312M |
| Q1 2026 | $218M |
| Q4 2025 | $452M |
| Q3 2025 | $324M |
| Q2 2025 | $195M |
| Q1 2025 | $173M |
| Q4 2024 | $192M |
YUMC spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 41% from the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
YUMC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
YUMC has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
YUMC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.4 | Neutral |
YUMC's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
YUMC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | YUMC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 5.2% below |
| PE % | 10 | 47 | 37 pts below |
YUMC has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
YUMC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $47.1 | 4.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $46.4 | 6.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $46.8 | 5.2% above |
YUMC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 5.2% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over YUMC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
YUMC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $48.7 | $57.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $57.7 | $48.2 | -16% |
| 2022 | $48.2 | $55.6 | +15% |
| 2023 | $55.6 | $42.4 | -24% |
| 2024 | $42.4 | $49.1 | +16% |
| 2025 | $49.1 | $49.1 | +0.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $49.1 | $49.2 | +0.1% |
YUMC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.