EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TM

Toyota Motor Corporation

58
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

TM has a slight edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

TM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

TM's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

TM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$175-16%
Current9.4x$210—
Fair10x$225+7.5%
Expensive13x$290+38%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TM has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

TM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails TM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$253.64
Downside-17%$173.97

Calculated from the latest close: $209.68 on Nov 12.

TM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

TM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $17.88Q4 2023: $20.84Q1 2024: $22.93Q2 2024: $23.08Q3 2024: $19.86Q4 2024: $24.03Q1 2025: $22.57Q2 2025: $20.41Q3 2025: $22.19Q4 2025: $17.86Q1 2026: $18.69Q2 2026: $22.31
Q3 2023: $17.88Q4 2023: $20.84Q1 2024: $22.93Q2 2024: $23.08Q3 2024: $19.86Q4 2024: $24.03Q1 2025: $22.57Q2 2025: $20.41Q3 2025: $22.19Q4 2025: $17.86Q1 2026: $18.69Q2 2026: $22.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$22.31+9.3%
Q1 2026$18.69-17%
Q4 2025$17.86-26%
Q3 2025$22.19+12%
Q2 2025$20.41-12%
Q1 2025$22.57-1.6%
Q4 2024$24.03+15%
Q3 2024$19.86+11%

TM earned $22.31 per share over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over TM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $71.7BQ4 2023: $75.5BQ1 2024: $69.4BQ2 2024: $74.2BQ3 2024: $71.7BQ4 2024: $77.7BQ1 2025: $77.5BQ2 2025: $76.8BQ3 2025: $77.6BQ4 2025: $85.9BQ1 2026: $80.4BQ2 2026: $85.9B
Q3 2023: $71.7BQ4 2023: $75.5BQ1 2024: $69.4BQ2 2024: $74.2BQ3 2024: $71.7BQ4 2024: $77.7BQ1 2025: $77.5BQ2 2025: $76.8BQ3 2025: $77.6BQ4 2025: $85.9BQ1 2026: $80.4BQ2 2026: $85.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$85.9B+12%
Q1 2026$80.4B+3.8%
Q4 2025$85.9B+11%
Q3 2025$77.6B+8.2%
Q2 2025$76.8B+3.5%
Q1 2025$77.5B+12%
Q4 2024$77.7B+2.9%
Q3 2024$71.7B+0.1%

TM's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $85.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over TM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.3BQ4 2023: −$4.5BQ1 2024: −$237,470Q2 2024: −$30MQ3 2024: −$1.9BQ4 2024: −$3.4BQ1 2025: $592MQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.1BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: −$4.8B
Q3 2023: −$1.3BQ4 2023: −$4.5BQ1 2024: −$237,470Q2 2024: −$30MQ3 2024: −$1.9BQ4 2024: −$3.4BQ1 2025: $592MQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.1BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: −$4.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.8B-221%
Q1 2026$1.5B+153%
Q4 2025-$3.1B+$320.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3B+$610.4M
Q2 2025$4B+$4B
Q1 2025$592.5M+$592.7M
Q4 2024-$3.4B+$1.1B
Q3 2024-$1.9B-$637.3M

TM has burned cash in most quarters: −$7.7B over the past year, against −$711M the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

TM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.4BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.2B
Q3 2023: 1.4BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.1%-79.5M shares
1 year-6.1%-79.4M shares
3 years-9.7%-132M shares
5 years-12%-174M shares
Available history-14%-202M shares

TM has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over TM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.5x
Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated
Q3 20243.4xElevated

TM's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

TM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic77.3Neutral

TM's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTMSector medianRelative
PE9.4x18x48% below
PE %354712 pts below

TM has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

TM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$196.36.8% above
20 week MA$191.39.6% above
50 week MA$201.54% above
100 week MA$194.57.8% above
200 week MA$187.812% above

TM is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over TM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$141.3$150.5+6.5%
2021$150.5$183.8+22%
2022$183.8$137.1-25%
2023$137.1$183.4+34%
2024$183.4$199.5+8.8%
2025$199.5$216.6+8.6%
2026 YTD$216.6$209.7-3.2%

TM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 3.2% so far in 2026.

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