EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RL has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$252-35%
Fair19x$336-14%
Forward19x$391—
Current22x$391—
Expensive25x$438+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RL has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

RL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

RL has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails RL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$511.86
Downside-14%$334.14

Calculated from the latest close: $390.80 on Nov 12.

RL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

RL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.24+16%
Q3 2026$17.42+29%
Q2 2026$15.87+27%
Q1 2026$15.11+30%
Q4 2025$14.69+34%
Q3 2025$13.53+29%
Q2 2025$12.52+21%
Q1 2025$11.61+20%
Q4 2024$10.95+24%

RL has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

RL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+9.1%
Q2 2026$2B+14%
Q1 2026$2B+17%
Q4 2025$2.4B+12%
Q3 2025$2B+16%
Q2 2025$1.7B+14%
Q1 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.1B+11%

RL has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

RL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+$258.7M
Q2 2026$285.9M+$297.1M
Q1 2026$145.3M+243%
Q4 2025$704M+4%
Q3 2025-$40.6M-173%
Q2 2025-$11.2M-105%
Q1 2025$42.3M-48%
Q4 2024$677.2M+20%

RL generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 103% from the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over RL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-400K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.5M shares
3 years-9.4%-6.3M shares
5 years-19%-14.4M shares
Available history-20%-14.9M shares

RL has 61M diluted shares, down 2.4% from a year ago, with $815M in buybacks over the past year.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

RL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

RL has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

RL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic68.3Neutral

RL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRLSector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %664719 pts above

RL has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

RL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.93.7% above
20 week MA$373.94.5% above
50 week MA$368.26.1% above
100 week MA$321.322% above
200 week MA$235.666% above

RL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 66% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over RL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$117.4$100.9-14%
2021$100.9$112.1+11%
2022$112.1$104.4-6.9%
2023$104.4$144.2+38%
2024$144.2$229.6+59%
2025$229.6$358.1+56%
2026 YTD$358.1$390.8+9.1%

RL has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 9.1% so far in 2026.

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