EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over PZZA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

PZZA

Papa John's International, Inc.

30
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

PZZA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

PZZA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

PZZA's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

PZZA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1231x2461x3692x4923x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1231x2461x3692x4923x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$15.78-18%
Current25x$19.16—
Fair33x$25.26+32%
Expensive100x$75.77+295%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PZZA has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

PZZA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for PZZA to show an outlook.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PZZA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PZZA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$23.25
Downside-50%$9.49

Calculated from the latest close: $19.16 on Nov 12.

PZZA trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PZZA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.48Q1 2024: $2.27Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.76
Q4 2023: $2.48Q1 2024: $2.27Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.76-33%
Q2 2026$0.80-65%
Q1 2026$0.84-65%
Q4 2025$0.90-65%
Q3 2025$1.14-61%
Q2 2025$2.28+8.6%
Q1 2025$2.37+4.4%
Q4 2024$2.54+2.4%

PZZA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.76 over the past year, against $2.89 in late 2024.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PZZA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $514MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $531MQ1 2025: $518MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $498MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: $455M
Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $514MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $531MQ1 2025: $518MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $498MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$454.8M-10%
Q2 2026$482.4M-8.8%
Q1 2026$478.6M-7.7%
Q4 2025$498.2M-6.1%
Q3 2025$508.2M+0.3%
Q2 2025$529.2M+4.2%
Q1 2025$518.3M+0.9%
Q4 2024$530.8M-7.1%

PZZA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $455M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PZZA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.7M-57%
Q2 2026$15.7M-9.9%
Q1 2026-$6.2M-133%
Q4 2025$2.1M-92%
Q3 2025$22.7M+$26.5M
Q2 2025$17.4M+26%
Q1 2025$19.1M+$20.2M
Q4 2024$25.2M-38%

PZZA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $21M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PZZA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.3%+86K shares
3 years+1%+329K shares
5 years-9.8%-3.6M shares
Available history+4.7%+1.5M shares

PZZA has 33M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PZZA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

PZZA's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

PZZA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic13.3Oversold

PZZA's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PZZA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPZZASector medianRelative
PE25x18x40% above
PE %294718 pts below

PZZA has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PZZA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.20.2% below
20 week MA$23.819% below
50 week MA$30.838% below
100 week MA$37.248% below
200 week MA$51.463% below

PZZA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over PZZA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PZZA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.5$87.5+36%
2021$87.5$132.6+51%
2022$132.6$84.0-37%
2023$84.0$76.2-9.2%
2024$76.2$39.5-48%
2025$39.5$39.3-0.5%
2026 YTD$39.3$19.2-51%

PZZA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 51% so far in 2026.

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