EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics, Inc.
PLOW has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
PLOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
PLOW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
PLOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $37.54 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $34.13 | -9.1% |
| Current | 14x | $37.54 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $59.01 | +57% |
| Expensive | 25x | $69.11 | +84% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLOW has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
PLOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
PLOW has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
PLOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.31 | +20% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.76 | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.20 | -21% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.22 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.96 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.75 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.78 | +136% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.71 | +132% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.34 | +144% |
PLOW earned $2.76 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over PLOW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PLOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $218M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $214.6M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $137.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $184.5M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $162.1M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $194.3M | -2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $115.1M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $143.5M | +6.9% |
PLOW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $218M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +4.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.7% | -27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | +9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9% | -0.4 points |
PLOW's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 5.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over PLOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PLOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.2M | -$14.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$28.3M | -$14M |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.2M | -$657K |
| Q4 2025 | $92.8M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.4M | +$3.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$14.3M | -1816% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.5M | +$18.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $70.2M | -4.8% |
PLOW has burned cash in most quarters: $34M over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over PLOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
PLOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -57.2K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -37.9K shares |
| 3 years | +2.4% | +549K shares |
| 5 years | +2.4% | +548K shares |
| Available history | +3.2% | +720K shares |
PLOW has 24M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $3M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
PLOW spent $6M buying back its own shares over the past year.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
PLOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
PLOW has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
PLOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.8 | Oversold |
PLOW's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
PLOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PLOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 18 | 47 | 29 pts below |
PLOW has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over PLOW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PLOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.0 | 3.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $41.7 | 9.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.7 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $34.8 | 7.7% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.5 | 19% above |
PLOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 19% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over PLOW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PLOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $55.3 | $42.3 | -24% |
| 2021 | $42.3 | $38.7 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $38.7 | $35.7 | -7.8% |
| 2023 | $35.7 | $29.7 | -17% |
| 2024 | $29.7 | $23.3 | -21% |
| 2025 | $23.3 | $33.4 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.4 | $37.5 | +12% |
PLOW has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.