EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has a slight edge over PKG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
PKG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
PKG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
PKG's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
PKG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $106 | -58% |
| Forward | 18x | $251 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $165 | -34% |
| Expensive | 27x | $220 | -12% |
| Current | 31x | $251 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PKG has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
PKG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
PKG has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over PKG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PKG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.00 | +72% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.13 | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.71 | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.23 | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.58 | -3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.89 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.02 | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.56 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.93 | +5.3% |
PKG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $8.13 over the past year, against $11.03 in late 2022.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over PKG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over PKG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PKG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | +6% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +4.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | +8.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | +11% |
PKG's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $2.6B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -3.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +0.6 points |
PKG's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
PKG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $224.3M | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $170.1M | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $164.6M | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $127.6M | +2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $280.1M | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $129.9M | +290% |
| Q1 2025 | $191M | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.1M | -36% |
PKG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $687M over the past year, down 5.3% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over PKG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
PKG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -700K shares |
| 3 years | -0.6% | -500K shares |
| 5 years | -6% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -5.4% | -5.1M shares |
PKG has 89M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $58.8M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $380.6M |
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
PKG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
PKG has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
PKG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.0 | Neutral |
PKG's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over PKG on valuation relative to its sector.
PKG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PKG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 18x | 71% above |
| PE % | 98 | 47 | 51 pts above |
PKG is trading at 31x earnings, a 71% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
PKG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $242.1 | 3.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $242.3 | 3.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $228.3 | 9.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $216.2 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $193.0 | 30% above |
PKG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over PKG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PKG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $111.8 | $136.1 | +22% |
| 2021 | $136.1 | $131.3 | -3.5% |
| 2022 | $131.3 | $128.7 | -2% |
| 2023 | $128.7 | $162.9 | +27% |
| 2024 | $162.9 | $227.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $227.1 | $208.9 | -8% |
| 2026 YTD | $208.9 | $250.6 | +20% |
PKG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.