EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ORLY

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

56
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ORLY has a slight edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ORLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

ORLY's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ORLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$70.95-23%
Fair26x$83.95-8.3%
Forward26x$91.56—
Current28x$91.56—
Expensive31x$102+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORLY has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

ORLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ORLY has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails ORLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ORLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$106.05
Downside-13%$80.07

Calculated from the latest close: $91.56 on Nov 12.

ORLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

ORLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.57Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.65Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.89Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $3.15Q3 2026: $3.27Forward: $3.57
Q4 2023: $2.57Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.65Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.89Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $3.15Q3 2026: $3.27Forward: $3.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.57+9.2%
Q3 2026$3.27+13%
Q2 2026$3.15+13%
Q1 2026$3.07+13%
Q4 2025$2.97+9.6%
Q3 2025$2.89+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.80+5.7%
Q1 2025$2.72+3.4%
Q4 2024$2.71+5.4%

ORLY has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 14% for EBAY versus up 7.8% for ORLY.

ORLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2025$4.7B+7.8%
Q2 2025$4.5B+5.9%
Q1 2025$4.1B+4%
Q4 2024$4.1B+6.9%
Q3 2024$4.4B+3.8%
Q2 2024$4.3B+5%
Q1 2024$4B+7.2%
Q4 2023$3.8B+5.1%

ORLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

ORLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $723MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $334MQ1 2025: $468MQ2 2025: $456MQ3 2025: $304MQ4 2025: $364MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $723MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $334MQ1 2025: $468MQ2 2025: $456MQ3 2025: $304MQ4 2025: $364MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250.5M-18%
Q2 2026$698.9M+53%
Q1 2026$788.5M+68%
Q4 2025$364.5M+9.1%
Q3 2025$304.4M-41%
Q2 2025$456.1M-37%
Q1 2025$468.2M+2.9%
Q4 2024$334M+26%

ORLY's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.1B over the past year, up 35% from the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

ORLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 915MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 886MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 881MQ1 2025: 864MQ2 2025: 858MQ3 2025: 853MQ4 2025: 856MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 829MQ3 2026: 812M
Q4 2023: 915MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 886MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 881MQ1 2025: 864MQ2 2025: 858MQ3 2025: 853MQ4 2025: 856MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 829MQ3 2026: 812M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-16.7M shares
1 year-4.7%-40.5M shares
3 years-11%-96.6M shares
5 years-22%-226M shares
Available history-30%-355M shares

ORLY has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

ORLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

ORLY has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ORLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic62.9Neutral

ORLY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY has the edge over ORLY on valuation relative to its sector.

ORLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricORLYSector medianRelative
PE28x18x56% above
PE %674720 pts above

ORLY is trading at 28x earnings, a 56% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over ORLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ORLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.33.7% above
20 week MA$88.33.7% above
50 week MA$90.90.7% above
100 week MA$92.20.7% below
200 week MA$79.615% above

ORLY's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over ORLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$30.8+5.6%
2021$30.8$45.3+47%
2022$45.3$55.6+23%
2023$55.6$63.3+14%
2024$63.3$79.8+26%
2025$79.8$92.3+16%
2026 YTD$92.3$91.6-0.7%

ORLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 0.7% so far in 2026.

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