EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over MTH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MTH

Meritage Homes Corporation

25
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

MTH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
Unavailable
Under pressure

MTH's profitability is currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x8.1x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x8.1x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$21.55-67%
Fair7.7x$34.14-47%
Expensive11x$46.91-28%
Current15x$64.80—
Forward16x$64.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTH has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over MTH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

MTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MTH's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$74.83
Downside-37%$41.04

Calculated from the latest close: $64.80 on Nov 12.

MTH trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over MTH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.96Q1 2024: $10.72Q2 2024: $11.37Q3 2024: $11.05Q4 2024: $10.72Q1 2025: $9.88Q2 2025: $8.77Q3 2025: $7.49Q4 2025: $6.35Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $4.81Q3 2026: $4.46Forward: $3.93
Q4 2023: $9.96Q1 2024: $10.72Q2 2024: $11.37Q3 2024: $11.05Q4 2024: $10.72Q1 2025: $9.88Q2 2025: $8.77Q3 2025: $7.49Q4 2025: $6.35Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $4.81Q3 2026: $4.46Forward: $3.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.93-12%
Q3 2026$4.46-40%
Q2 2026$4.81-45%
Q1 2026$5.48-45%
Q4 2025$6.35-41%
Q3 2025$7.49-32%
Q2 2025$8.77-23%
Q1 2025$9.88-7.8%
Q4 2024$10.72+7.6%

MTH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.46 over the past year, against $13.37 in late 2022.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

MTH and EBAY do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

MTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$111MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: −$125MQ3 2024: −$100MQ4 2024: −$107MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$104MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$111MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: −$125MQ3 2024: −$100MQ4 2024: −$107MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$104MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.3M+$69M
Q2 2026$183.9M+2552%
Q1 2026$97M+$145.2M
Q4 2025$238.1M+$345.1M
Q3 2025-$104.3M-$4.3M
Q2 2025$6.9M+$131.8M
Q1 2025-$48.2M-164%
Q4 2024-$107M+$4.4M

MTH has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

MTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-1M shares
1 year-8.5%-6.1M shares
3 years-12%-9M shares
5 years-15%-11.3M shares
Available history-16%-12.7M shares

MTH has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over MTH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MTH's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

MTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.5Neutral
Stochastic46.3Neutral

MTH's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMTHSector medianRelative
PE15x18x19% below
PE %984751 pts above

MTH has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over MTH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.52% above
20 week MA$68.45.3% below
50 week MA$69.16.2% below
100 week MA$70.47.9% below
200 week MA$73.412% below

MTH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 12% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over MTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.7$44.2+44%
2021$44.2$58.5+32%
2022$58.5$46.1-21%
2023$46.1$87.1+89%
2024$87.1$77.1-12%
2025$77.1$66.8-13%
2026 YTD$66.8$64.8-3%

MTH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 3% so far in 2026.

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