EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
MOV
Movado Group, Inc.
MOV has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
MOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MOV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
MOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $13.34 | -58% |
| Fair | 12x | $20.84 | -35% |
| Forward | 15x | $31.95 | — |
| Current | 18x | $31.95 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $37.20 | +16% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOV has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
MOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
MOV has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over MOV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.17 | +20% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.81 | +135% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.41 | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.17 | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.97 | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | -52% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.80 | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.87 | -58% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.04 | -59% |
MOV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.81 over the past year, against $4.49 in mid-2022.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over MOV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over MOV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.8M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.4M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $191.6M | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $186.1M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $161.8M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.8M | -3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $181.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2024 | $182.7M | -2.6% |
MOV's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $170M last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +4.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6% | -7.4 points |
MOV's operating margin was 8.8% last quarter, up 6.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
MOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.6M | +$3.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.8M | +$14.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $55.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.6M | +$18.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.1M | +$15M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.7M | +$11M |
| Q1 2025 | $37.5M | -45% |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.2M | -$3.3M |
MOV has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over MOV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
MOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +259K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +514K shares |
| 3 years | +2.1% | +469K shares |
| 5 years | -2.8% | -654K shares |
| Available history | -0.7% | -165K shares |
MOV has 23M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1.1M |
MOV spent $4M buying back its own shares over the past year.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
MOV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
MOV has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
MOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
MOV's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.1% below |
| PE % | 72 | 47 | 25 pts above |
MOV has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over MOV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.2 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.5 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.8 | 7.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.1 | 27% above |
MOV has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 27% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.
MOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.5 | $17.4 | -19% |
| 2021 | $17.4 | $40.5 | +133% |
| 2022 | $40.5 | $30.7 | -24% |
| 2023 | $30.7 | $30.2 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $30.2 | $19.9 | -34% |
| 2025 | $19.9 | $20.9 | +5.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $32.0 | +53% |
MOV has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.