EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
HLT has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
HLT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
HLT's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
HLT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 32x | $239 | -36% |
| Forward | 37x | $373 | — |
| Fair | 42x | $314 | -16% |
| Current | 50x | $373 | — |
| Expensive | 53x | $394 | +5.7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HLT has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
HLT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
HLT has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
HLT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.05 | +36% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.40 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.81 | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.55 | +3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.12 | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.90 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.50 | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.33 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.14 | +42% |
HLT has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over HLT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HLT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.3B | +6.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +6.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | +6.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +4.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +6.7% |
HLT's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3.3B last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 23% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +2.2 points |
HLT has the edge over EBAY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
HLT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $689M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $460M | -28% |
| Q1 2026 | $609M | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $173M | -68% |
| Q3 2025 | $787M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $635M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $433M | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $534M | +26% |
HLT generated $1.9B in free cash flow over the past year, down 19% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
HLT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -36M shares |
| 5 years | -20% | -55M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -64M shares |
HLT has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $846M |
| Q2 2026 | $966M |
| Q1 2026 | $821M |
| Q4 2025 | $779M |
| Q3 2025 | $759M |
| Q2 2025 | $769M |
| Q1 2025 | $875M |
| Q4 2024 | $766M |
HLT spent $3.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 7.7% from the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over HLT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HLT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
HLT's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
HLT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.6 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 88.1 | Overbought |
HLT's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over HLT on valuation relative to its sector.
HLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HLT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 50x | 18x | 180% above |
| PE % | 76 | 47 | 29 pts above |
HLT is trading at 50x earnings, a 180% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
HLT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $344.3 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $330.6 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $319.0 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $287.0 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.9 | 59% above |
HLT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over HLT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HLT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $112.4 | $106.9 | -4.9% |
| 2021 | $106.9 | $154.7 | +45% |
| 2022 | $154.7 | $126.4 | -18% |
| 2023 | $126.4 | $182.1 | +44% |
| 2024 | $182.1 | $249.9 | +37% |
| 2025 | $249.9 | $293.5 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $293.5 | $372.7 | +27% |
HLT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 27% so far in 2026.