EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HLLY
Holley Inc.
HLLY has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
HLLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
HLLY's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
HLLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.6x | $1.05 | -55% |
| Current | 15x | $2.36 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $3.24 | +37% |
| Expensive | 28x | $4.43 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HLLY has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
HLLY Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for HLLY to show an outlook.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HLLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.16 | +$0.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.20 | +$0.41 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.16 | +$0.36 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.22 | -283% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.26 | -244% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.21 | -240% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.20 | -225% |
HLLY has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HLLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $141.6M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $172M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $147.3M | -3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $155.4M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $138.4M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $166.7M | -1.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $153M | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $140.1M | -10% |
HLLY's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $142M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | -15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +6.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -21% | -33 points |
HLLY's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
HLLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.8M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.9M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.3M | +$4.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.8M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M | +$8.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $35.7M | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.8M | -162% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7M | -94% |
HLLY has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
HLLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +593K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +1.6M shares |
| 5 years | +1170% | +111M shares |
HLLY has 121M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HLLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 12.7x | High |
HLLY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
HLLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.7 | Neutral |
HLLY's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HLLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HLLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 18% below |
| PE % | 34 | 49 | 15 pts below |
HLLY has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HLLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.42 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.64 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.11 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.94 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.39 | 30% below |
HLLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over HLLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HLLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.75 | $10.0 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $10.0 | $12.6 | +26% |
| 2022 | $12.6 | $2.04 | -84% |
| 2023 | $2.04 | $4.87 | +139% |
| 2024 | $4.87 | $3.00 | -38% |
| 2025 | $3.00 | $4.17 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.17 | $2.36 | -43% |
HLLY's yearly returns have swung widely, from +139% in 2023 to −84% in 2022. It's down 43% so far in 2026.