EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over GHG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

GHG

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GHG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GHG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

GHG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GHG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$0.43-59%
Current16x$1.03—
Fair17x$1.05+1.6%
Expensive33x$1.95+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GHG has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

GHG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GHG to show an outlook.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails GHG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GHG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$1.26
Downside-18%$0.84

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

GHG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

GHG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.06-79%
Q1 2026$0.18-22%
Q4 2025$0.31+94%
Q3 2025$0.27+17%
Q2 2025$0.28+460%
Q1 2025$0.23+64%
Q4 2024$0.16+60%
Q3 2024$0.23+92%

GHG has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over GHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GHG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$35.2M-20%
Q1 2026$34.2M-22%
Q4 2025$32.2M-30%
Q3 2025$45.6M-15%
Q2 2025$43.9M-11%
Q1 2025$43.9M-17%
Q4 2024$45.7M-18%
Q3 2024$53.6M-11%

GHG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $35M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over GHG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GHG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.6M-65%
Q1 2026$961.8K-79%
Q4 2025-$2.8M-180%
Q3 2025-$3M-116%
Q2 2025$4.5M-49%
Q1 2025$4.5M-62%
Q4 2024$3.5M+$7.8M
Q3 2024$19.6M+6.8%

GHG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$3M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over GHG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GHG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.5%-503K shares
3 years-1.3%-1.3M shares
5 years-2.1%-2.2M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.3M shares

GHG has 101M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

GHG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low
Q3 20240.5xVery low

GHG has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

GHG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic30.0Neutral

GHG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GHG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGHGSector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.3% below
PE %46471 pt below

GHG has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over GHG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GHG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.985.1% above
20 week MA$1.062.8% below
50 week MA$1.2518% below
100 week MA$1.7541% below
200 week MA$2.7362% below

GHG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 62% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over GHG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GHG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$13.00%
2021$13.0$8.51-35%
2022$8.51$3.86-55%
2023$3.86$3.76-2.6%
2024$3.76$2.52-33%
2025$2.52$1.79-29%
2026 YTD$1.79$1.03-42%

GHG has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 42% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key