DVA

DaVita Inc.

66
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DVA has the edge over NVO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

DVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure

DVA's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

DVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$174—
Cheap12x$166-4.7%
Current13x$174—
Fair15x$202+16%
Expensive18x$243+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DVA's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over DVA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DVA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$227.51
Downside-12%$152.68

Calculated from the latest close: $174.07 on Nov 12.

DVA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails DVA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.42Q1 2024: $8.82Q2 2024: $9.41Q3 2024: $9.29Q4 2024: $10.73Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.16Q3 2025: $9.70Q4 2025: $9.84Q1 2026: $10.71Q2 2026: $12.15Q3 2026: $13.51Forward: $16.10
Q4 2023: $7.42Q1 2024: $8.82Q2 2024: $9.41Q3 2024: $9.29Q4 2024: $10.73Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.16Q3 2025: $9.70Q4 2025: $9.84Q1 2026: $10.71Q2 2026: $12.15Q3 2026: $13.51Forward: $16.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.10+19%
Q3 2026$13.51+39%
Q2 2026$12.15+20%
Q1 2026$10.71+6.3%
Q4 2025$9.84-8.3%
Q3 2025$9.70+4.4%
Q2 2025$10.16+8%
Q1 2025$10.08+14%
Q4 2024$10.73+45%

DVA earned $13.51 per share over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over DVA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.1BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
Q4 2023: $3.1BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.6B+4.6%
Q2 2026$3.6B+5.2%
Q1 2026$3.4B+6%
Q4 2025$3.6B+9.9%
Q3 2025$3.4B+4.8%
Q2 2025$3.4B+6.1%
Q1 2025$3.2B+5%
Q4 2024$3.3B+4.7%

DVA's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.6B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

DVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: −$256MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $671MQ4 2024: $377MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $359M
Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: −$256MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $671MQ4 2024: $377MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $219MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $359M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$359.3M-47%
Q2 2026$320.3M+58%
Q1 2026$218.8M+495%
Q4 2025$395.3M+4.9%
Q3 2025$675.4M+0.6%
Q2 2025$203.1M-70%
Q1 2025$36.8M+$292.6M
Q4 2024$377M+16%

DVA has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

DVA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 93MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 76MQ1 2026: 69MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 93MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 76MQ1 2026: 69MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-588K shares
1 year-11%-8.3M shares
3 years-30%-28.5M shares
5 years-40%-44.3M shares
Available history-57%-88.3M shares

DVA has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DVA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

DVA's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.5 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over DVA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic19.8Oversold

DVA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

DVA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricDVASector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %26293 pts below

DVA is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over DVA on valuation relative to its sector.

DVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$182.54.6% below
20 week MA$195.411% below
50 week MA$169.82.5% above
100 week MA$155.712% above
200 week MA$136.028% above

DVA has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

DVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.8$115.1+54%
2021$115.1$111.4-3.2%
2022$111.4$73.8-34%
2023$73.8$104.8+42%
2024$104.8$154.3+47%
2025$154.3$114.0-26%
2026 YTD$114.0$174.1+53%

DVA has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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