DORM

Dorman Products, Inc.

59
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

DORM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has a slight edge over DORM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

DORM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

DORM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

DORM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$132—
Cheap19x$125-5.6%
Current20x$132—
Fair23x$152+15%
Expensive28x$191+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DORM's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over DORM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DORM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

DORM has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DORM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$164.52
Downside-18%$108.33

Calculated from the latest close: $132.00 on Nov 12.

DORM trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DORM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DORM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.10Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.98Q4 2024: $6.14Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $7.34Q3 2025: $8.02Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.22Q3 2026: $6.72Forward: $8.63
Q4 2023: $4.10Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.98Q4 2024: $6.14Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $7.34Q3 2025: $8.02Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.22Q3 2026: $6.72Forward: $8.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.63+28%
Q3 2026$6.72-16%
Q2 2026$7.22-1.6%
Q1 2026$6.20-11%
Q4 2025$6.64+8.1%
Q3 2025$8.02+34%
Q2 2025$7.34+34%
Q1 2025$6.96+40%
Q4 2024$6.14+50%

DORM has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

DORM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $469MQ2 2024: $503MQ3 2024: $504MQ4 2024: $534MQ1 2025: $508MQ2 2025: $541MQ3 2025: $544MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $529MQ2 2026: $545MQ3 2026: $562M
Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $469MQ2 2024: $503MQ3 2024: $504MQ4 2024: $534MQ1 2025: $508MQ2 2025: $541MQ3 2025: $544MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $529MQ2 2026: $545MQ3 2026: $562M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$561.7M+3.3%
Q2 2026$544.6M+0.7%
Q1 2026$528.8M+4.2%
Q4 2025$537.9M+0.8%
Q3 2025$543.7M+7.9%
Q2 2025$541M+7.6%
Q1 2025$507.7M+8.3%
Q4 2024$533.8M+8%

DORM has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

DORM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $98,000Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $98,000Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.9M+3022%
Q2 2026$143.5M+146376%
Q1 2026$35.3M-12%
Q4 2025$33.5M-47%
Q3 2025$1.8M-95%
Q2 2025$98K-100%
Q1 2025$40.3M-2.4%
Q4 2024$63.2M+30%

DORM has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

DORM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-135K shares
1 year-3%-922K shares
3 years-5.4%-1.7M shares
5 years-6.2%-2M shares
Available history-8.7%-2.8M shares

DORM has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DORM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

DORM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over DORM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DORM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic49.5Neutral

DORM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

DORM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDORMSector medianRelative
PE20x18x9% above
PE %244723 pts below

DORM is trading at 20x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over DORM on valuation relative to its sector.

DORM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$127.73.4% above
20 week MA$131.30.5% above
50 week MA$124.65.9% above
100 week MA$128.62.7% above
200 week MA$110.320% above

DORM has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

DORM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$75.1$89.6+19%
2021$89.6$106.4+19%
2022$106.4$81.3-24%
2023$81.3$83.4+2.6%
2024$83.4$132.2+58%
2025$132.2$126.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$126.6$132.0+4.2%

DORM has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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