DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

44
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential78/ 100

DOCN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over DOCN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

DOCN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

DOCN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DOCN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x234x312x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x234x312x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$7.61-92%
Fair46x$13.68-85%
Forward55x$90.07—
Expensive68x$20.36-77%
Current300x$90.07—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DOCN's PE is in its expensive range at 300x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 55x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over DOCN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DOCN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DOCN, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over DOCN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DOCN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$101.75
Downside-78%$19.92

Calculated from the latest close: $90.07 on Nov 12.

DOCN trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DOCN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DOCN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.20Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.52Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.64
Q4 2023: $0.20Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.52Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.64+448%
Q3 2026$0.30-88%
Q2 2026$2.18+68%
Q1 2026$2.28+105%
Q4 2025$2.52+190%
Q3 2025$2.48+195%
Q2 2025$1.30+83%
Q1 2025$1.11+113%
Q4 2024$0.87+335%

DOCN earned $0.30 per share over the past year, down 88% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

DOCN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $205MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $321M
Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $205MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $321M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$321.2M+40%
Q2 2026$281.2M+29%
Q1 2026$257.9M+22%
Q4 2025$242.4M+18%
Q3 2025$229.6M+16%
Q2 2025$218.7M+14%
Q1 2025$210.7M+14%
Q4 2024$204.9M+13%

DOCN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $321M last quarter, up 40% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over DOCN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DOCN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.7M+56%
Q2 2026$68.4M+15%
Q1 2026$6.9M+226%
Q4 2025$31.1M+19%
Q3 2025$88M+450%
Q2 2025$59.3M+50%
Q1 2025$2.1M-91%
Q4 2024$26.1M-7.9%

DOCN has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

DOCN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.4%-11.9M shares
1 year+8.7%+9.2M shares
3 years+12%+12M shares
5 years+6.2%+6.7M shares
Available history+32%+27.6M shares

DOCN has 115M diluted shares, up 8.7% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over DOCN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DOCN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.9xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: 8.9xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

DOCN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DOCN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.1Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

DOCN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

DOCN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDOCNSector medianRelative
PE300x28x978% above
PE %1004159 pts above

DOCN is trading at 300x earnings, a 978% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over DOCN on valuation relative to its sector.

DOCN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$107.316% below
20 week MA$116.323% below
50 week MA$101.111% below
100 week MA$68.033% above
200 week MA$51.575% above

DOCN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over DOCN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DOCN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$41.6$81.3+95%
2022$81.3$24.8-70%
2023$24.8$36.7+48%
2024$36.7$34.9-4.8%
2025$34.9$49.5+42%
2026 YTD$49.5$90.1+82%

DOCN has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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