DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

44
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential78/ 100

DOCN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 300x earnings, about seven times its usual 46x. Its downside scenario is about six times its upside.

DOCN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

DOCN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

DOCN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x234x312x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x234x312x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$7.61-92%
Fair46x$13.68-85%
Forward55x$90.07—
Expensive68x$20.36-77%
Current300x$90.07—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DOCN's PE is in its expensive range at 300x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 55x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DOCN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DOCN, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DOCN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$101.75
Downside-78%$19.92

Calculated from the latest close: $90.07 on Nov 12.

DOCN's one-year downside scenario is about six times its upside: −78% against +13%.

DOCN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.20Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.52Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.64
Q4 2023: $0.20Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.52Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.64+448%
Q3 2026$0.30-88%
Q2 2026$2.18+68%
Q1 2026$2.28+105%
Q4 2025$2.52+190%
Q3 2025$2.48+195%
Q2 2025$1.30+83%
Q1 2025$1.11+113%
Q4 2024$0.87+335%

DOCN earned $0.30 per share over the past year, down 88% from the year before.

DOCN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $205MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $321M
Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $205MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $321M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$321.2M+40%
Q2 2026$281.2M+29%
Q1 2026$257.9M+22%
Q4 2025$242.4M+18%
Q3 2025$229.6M+16%
Q2 2025$218.7M+14%
Q1 2025$210.7M+14%
Q4 2024$204.9M+13%

DOCN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $321M last quarter, up 40% from the same quarter a year ago.

DOCN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.7M+56%
Q2 2026$68.4M+15%
Q1 2026$6.9M+226%
Q4 2025$31.1M+19%
Q3 2025$88M+450%
Q2 2025$59.3M+50%
Q1 2025$2.1M-91%
Q4 2024$26.1M-7.9%

DOCN generated $244M in free cash flow over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

DOCN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.4%-11.9M shares
1 year+8.7%+9.2M shares
3 years+12%+12M shares
5 years+6.2%+6.7M shares
Available history+32%+27.6M shares

DOCN has 115M diluted shares, up 8.7% from a year ago.

DOCN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.9xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: 8.9xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

DOCN has more cash than debt.

DOCN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.1Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

DOCN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

DOCN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDOCNSector medianRelative
PE300x28x978% above
PE %1004159 pts above

DOCN is trading at 300x earnings, a 978% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

DOCN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$107.316% below
20 week MA$116.323% below
50 week MA$101.111% below
100 week MA$68.033% above
200 week MA$51.575% above

DOCN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.

DOCN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$41.6$81.3+95%
2022$81.3$24.8-70%
2023$24.8$36.7+48%
2024$36.7$34.9-4.8%
2025$34.9$49.5+42%
2026 YTD$49.5$90.1+82%

DOCN has finished higher in three of the last five years. It's up 82% so far in 2026.

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