DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

44
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential78/ 100

DOCN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over DOCN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

DOCN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

DOCN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

DOCN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x234x312x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x156x234x312x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$7.61-92%
Fair46x$13.68-85%
Forward55x$90.07—
Expensive68x$20.36-77%
Current300x$90.07—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DOCN's PE is in its expensive range at 300x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 55x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DOCN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DOCN, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over DOCN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DOCN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$101.75
Downside-78%$19.92

Calculated from the latest close: $90.07 on Nov 12.

DOCN trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DOCN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DOCN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.20Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.52Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.64
Q4 2023: $0.20Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $1.11Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.52Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.64+448%
Q3 2026$0.30-88%
Q2 2026$2.18+68%
Q1 2026$2.28+105%
Q4 2025$2.52+190%
Q3 2025$2.48+195%
Q2 2025$1.30+83%
Q1 2025$1.11+113%
Q4 2024$0.87+335%

DOCN has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DOCN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $205MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $321M
Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $205MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $321M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$321.2M+40%
Q2 2026$281.2M+29%
Q1 2026$257.9M+22%
Q4 2025$242.4M+18%
Q3 2025$229.6M+16%
Q2 2025$218.7M+14%
Q1 2025$210.7M+14%
Q4 2024$204.9M+13%

DOCN has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

DOCN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.7M+56%
Q2 2026$68.4M+15%
Q1 2026$6.9M+226%
Q4 2025$31.1M+19%
Q3 2025$88M+450%
Q2 2025$59.3M+50%
Q1 2025$2.1M-91%
Q4 2024$26.1M-7.9%

DOCN generated $244M in free cash flow over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over DOCN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DOCN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 112MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.4%-11.9M shares
1 year+8.7%+9.2M shares
3 years+12%+12M shares
5 years+6.2%+6.7M shares
Available history+32%+27.6M shares

DOCN has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

DOCN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.9xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: 8.9xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

DOCN has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

DOCN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.1Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

DOCN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

DOCN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDOCNSector medianRelative
PE300x28x978% above
PE %1004159 pts above

DOCN is trading at 300x earnings, a 978% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DOCN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$107.316% below
20 week MA$116.323% below
50 week MA$101.111% below
100 week MA$68.033% above
200 week MA$51.575% above

DOCN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

DOCN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$41.6$81.3+95%
2022$81.3$24.8-70%
2023$24.8$36.7+48%
2024$36.7$34.9-4.8%
2025$34.9$49.5+42%
2026 YTD$49.5$90.1+82%

DOCN has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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