DLTH

Duluth Holdings Inc.

52
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

DLTH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over DLTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

DLTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

DLTH's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

DLTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$1.88-52%
Fair18x$2.66-32%
Current26x$3.90—
Expensive29x$4.40+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DLTH's PE is in its expensive range at 26x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over DLTH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DLTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

DLTH has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DLTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$5.42
Downside-29%$2.78

Calculated from the latest close: $3.90 on Nov 12.

DLTH trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DLTH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DLTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.45Q4 2024: $-0.98Q1 2025: $-1.31Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-1.37Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.31Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.45Q4 2024: $-0.98Q1 2025: $-1.31Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-1.37Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.31Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+$1.52
Q2 2026-$0.31+$1.21
Q1 2026-$0.47+$0.84
Q4 2025-$0.81+$0.17
Q3 2025-$1.37-$0.92
Q2 2025-$1.52-$1.12
Q1 2025-$1.31-$1.03
Q4 2024-$0.98-$0.71

DLTH has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

DLTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $142MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $132MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $121M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $142MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $132MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $121M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$121.4M-7.8%
Q2 2026$98.6M-4%
Q1 2026$215.9M-11%
Q4 2025$114.9M-9.6%
Q3 2025$131.7M-7%
Q2 2025$102.7M-12%
Q1 2025$241.3M-1.8%
Q4 2024$127.1M-8.1%

DLTH's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $121M last quarter, down 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over DLTH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DLTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$44MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$58MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$44MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$58MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.2M-5.5%
Q2 2026-$15.2M+$42.6M
Q1 2026$53.5M+38%
Q4 2025-$8.9M+$34.8M
Q3 2025$29.8M+99%
Q2 2025-$57.8M-$22.6M
Q1 2025$38.7M-36%
Q4 2024-$43.7M-$5.5M

DLTH has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

DLTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.8%+1.7M shares
1 year+5%+1.7M shares
3 years+10%+3.4M shares
5 years+11%+3.6M shares
Available history+13%+4.1M shares

DLTH has 36M diluted shares, up 5% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over DLTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DLTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20244.7xHigh
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 20240.3xVery low
Q1 2024-1.3xNet Cash

DLTH has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DLTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic44.2Neutral

DLTH's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

DLTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDLTHSector medianRelative
PE26x18x44% above
PE %734726 pts above

DLTH is trading at 26x earnings, a 44% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over DLTH on valuation relative to its sector.

DLTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.992.3% below
20 week MA$4.115.1% below
50 week MA$3.4015% above
100 week MA$2.9831% above
200 week MA$4.033.2% below

DLTH has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

DLTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$11.2+8.6%
2021$11.2$15.1+35%
2022$15.1$5.90-61%
2023$5.90$5.38-8.8%
2024$5.38$3.03-44%
2025$3.03$2.11-30%
2026 YTD$2.11$3.90+85%

DLTH has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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