DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
DECK has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
DECK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
DECK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
DECK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 11x | $84.53 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $84.53 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $117 | +38% |
| Fair | 22x | $167 | +97% |
| Expensive | 29x | $217 | +156% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DECK's PE is in its cheap range at 11.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.8x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DECK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DECK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DECK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.84 | +4.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.52 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.03 | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.02 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.07 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.74 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.51 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.33 | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.17 | +33% |
DECK has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
DECK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +5.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $964.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +6.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +17% |
DECK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 26% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | -3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | -0.2 points |
DECK has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
DECK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$79.1M | -$65.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.7M | +168% |
| Q1 2026 | $78.8M | +$168.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.9M | +$99.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $12.2M | -86% |
| Q1 2025 | -$89.4M | -$45.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +16% |
DECK has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
DECK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -3.3M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -12.4M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -21.8M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -32.1M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -34.2M shares |
DECK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $299.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $338.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $261.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $348.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $282M |
| Q2 2025 | $183M |
| Q1 2025 | $266M |
| Q4 2024 | $44.7M |
DECK spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
DECK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
DECK has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
DECK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.4 | Neutral |
DECK's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
DECK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DECK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
DECK is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DECK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.6 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $89.3 | 5.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $99.3 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $111.3 | 24% below |
| 200 week MA | $116.1 | 27% below |
DECK has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
DECK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.9 | $48.8 | +75% |
| 2021 | $48.8 | $59.4 | +22% |
| 2022 | $59.4 | $65.2 | +9.6% |
| 2023 | $65.2 | $111.4 | +71% |
| 2024 | $111.4 | $207.1 | +86% |
| 2025 | $207.1 | $103.1 | -50% |
| 2026 YTD | $103.1 | $84.5 | -18% |
DECK has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.