DECK

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

72
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DECK's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 11x earnings, about half its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DECK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

DECK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

DECK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$84.53—
Forward11x$84.53—
Cheap16x$117+38%
Fair22x$167+97%
Expensive29x$217+156%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DECK's PE is in its cheap range at 11.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.8x next year's earnings.

DECK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DECK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DECK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$125.74
Downside-17%$70.43

Calculated from the latest close: $84.53 on Nov 12.

DECK's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +49% against −17%.

DECK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $4.88Q2 2024: $5.23Q3 2024: $5.69Q4 2024: $6.17Q1 2025: $6.33Q2 2025: $6.51Q3 2025: $6.74Q4 2025: $7.07Q1 2026: $7.02Q2 2026: $7.03Q3 2026: $7.52Forward: $7.84
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $4.88Q2 2024: $5.23Q3 2024: $5.69Q4 2024: $6.17Q1 2025: $6.33Q2 2025: $6.51Q3 2025: $6.74Q4 2025: $7.07Q1 2026: $7.02Q2 2026: $7.03Q3 2026: $7.52Forward: $7.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.84+4.2%
Q3 2026$7.52+12%
Q2 2026$7.03+8%
Q1 2026$7.02+11%
Q4 2025$7.07+15%
Q3 2025$6.74+18%
Q2 2025$6.51+24%
Q1 2025$6.33+30%
Q4 2024$6.17+33%

DECK's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.52 over the past year, up 12% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

DECK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $960MQ2 2024: $825MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $965MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $960MQ2 2024: $825MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $965MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+3.5%
Q2 2026$1B+5.7%
Q1 2026$1.1B+9.6%
Q4 2025$2B+7.1%
Q3 2025$1.4B+9.1%
Q2 2025$964.5M+17%
Q1 2025$1B+6.5%
Q4 2024$1.8B+17%

DECK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

DECK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $924MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$79M
Q4 2023: $924MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$79.1M-$65.2M
Q2 2026$32.7M+168%
Q1 2026$78.8M+$168.2M
Q4 2025$1B-4.7%
Q3 2025-$13.9M+$99.5M
Q2 2025$12.2M-86%
Q1 2025-$89.4M-$45.5M
Q4 2024$1.1B+16%

DECK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$79M, but it generated $1.1B over the past year.

DECK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 153MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 153MQ2 2025: 150MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 144MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 153MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 153MQ2 2025: 150MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 144MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-8.4%-12.4M shares
3 years-14%-21.8M shares
5 years-19%-32.1M shares
Available history-20%-34.2M shares

DECK has 135M diluted shares, down 8.4% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

DECK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

DECK has more cash than debt.

DECK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic30.4Neutral

DECK's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

DECK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDECKSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %14746 pts below

DECK is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DECK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.62.3% above
20 week MA$89.35.4% below
50 week MA$99.315% below
100 week MA$111.324% below
200 week MA$116.127% below

DECK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 27% below its 200-week average.

DECK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.9$48.8+75%
2021$48.8$59.4+22%
2022$59.4$65.2+9.6%
2023$65.2$111.4+71%
2024$111.4$207.1+86%
2025$207.1$103.1-50%
2026 YTD$103.1$84.5-18%

DECK has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

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