DECK

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

72
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DECK has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DECK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

DECK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

DECK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$84.53—
Forward11x$84.53—
Cheap16x$117+38%
Fair22x$167+97%
Expensive29x$217+156%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DECK has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DECK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DECK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

DECK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$125.74
Downside-17%$70.43

Calculated from the latest close: $84.53 on Nov 12.

DECK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside for the same potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails DECK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside for the same potential downside.

DECK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $4.88Q2 2024: $5.23Q3 2024: $5.69Q4 2024: $6.17Q1 2025: $6.33Q2 2025: $6.51Q3 2025: $6.74Q4 2025: $7.07Q1 2026: $7.02Q2 2026: $7.03Q3 2026: $7.52Forward: $7.84
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $4.88Q2 2024: $5.23Q3 2024: $5.69Q4 2024: $6.17Q1 2025: $6.33Q2 2025: $6.51Q3 2025: $6.74Q4 2025: $7.07Q1 2026: $7.02Q2 2026: $7.03Q3 2026: $7.52Forward: $7.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.84+4.2%
Q3 2026$7.52+12%
Q2 2026$7.03+8%
Q1 2026$7.02+11%
Q4 2025$7.07+15%
Q3 2025$6.74+18%
Q2 2025$6.51+24%
Q1 2025$6.33+30%
Q4 2024$6.17+33%

DECK has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

DECK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $960MQ2 2024: $825MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $965MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $960MQ2 2024: $825MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $965MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+3.5%
Q2 2026$1B+5.7%
Q1 2026$1.1B+9.6%
Q4 2025$2B+7.1%
Q3 2025$1.4B+9.1%
Q2 2025$964.5M+17%
Q1 2025$1B+6.5%
Q4 2024$1.8B+17%

DECK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over DECK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DECK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $924MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$79M
Q4 2023: $924MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: −$113MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$14MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$79.1M-$65.2M
Q2 2026$32.7M+168%
Q1 2026$78.8M+$168.2M
Q4 2025$1B-4.7%
Q3 2025-$13.9M+$99.5M
Q2 2025$12.2M-86%
Q1 2025-$89.4M-$45.5M
Q4 2024$1.1B+16%

DECK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$79M, but it generated $1.1B over the past year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over DECK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DECK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 153MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 153MQ2 2025: 150MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 144MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 153MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 153MQ2 2025: 150MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 144MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-8.4%-12.4M shares
3 years-14%-21.8M shares
5 years-19%-32.1M shares
Available history-20%-34.2M shares

DECK has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

DECK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

DECK has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

DECK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic30.4Neutral

DECK's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

DECK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDECKSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %14746 pts below

DECK has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DECK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.62.3% above
20 week MA$89.35.4% below
50 week MA$99.315% below
100 week MA$111.324% below
200 week MA$116.127% below

DECK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 27% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over DECK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DECK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.9$48.8+75%
2021$48.8$59.4+22%
2022$59.4$65.2+9.6%
2023$65.2$111.4+71%
2024$111.4$207.1+86%
2025$207.1$103.1-50%
2026 YTD$103.1$84.5-18%

DECK has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over DECK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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