DBX

Dropbox, Inc.

64
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

DBX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has a slight edge over DBX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

DBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

DBX's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

DBX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE77x154x231x308x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE77x154x231x308x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$33.51—
Cheap15x$27.58-18%
Fair18x$34.00+1.5%
Current18x$33.51—
Expensive25x$45.96+37%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBX's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect DBX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over DBX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$41.98
Downside-14%$28.85

Calculated from the latest close: $33.51 on Nov 12.

DBX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails DBX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DBX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.50Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.40Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.80Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $3.28
Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.50Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.40Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.80Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $3.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.28+77%
Q3 2026$1.85+5.1%
Q2 2026$1.80+10%
Q1 2026$1.83+20%
Q4 2025$1.86+33%
Q3 2025$1.76+2.3%
Q2 2025$1.63-4.7%
Q1 2025$1.52+1.3%
Q4 2024$1.40+6.9%

DBX has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DBX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $635MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $635MQ3 2024: $639MQ4 2024: $644MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $626MQ3 2025: $634MQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $630MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $637M
Q4 2023: $635MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $635MQ3 2024: $639MQ4 2024: $644MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $626MQ3 2025: $634MQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $630MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $637M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$637.3M+0.5%
Q2 2026$631.5M+0.9%
Q1 2026$629.5M+0.8%
Q4 2025$636.2M-1.1%
Q3 2025$634.4M-0.7%
Q2 2025$625.7M-1.4%
Q1 2025$624.7M-1%
Q4 2024$643.6M+1.4%

DBX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $637M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over DBX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $270MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $154MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $203MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $252M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $270MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $154MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $203MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $252M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$251.8M-14%
Q2 2026$235.2M-9%
Q1 2026$203.3M+32%
Q4 2025$224.9M+6.8%
Q3 2025$293.7M+8.7%
Q2 2025$258.5M+15%
Q1 2025$153.7M-7.6%
Q4 2024$210.5M+11%

DBX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $915M over the past year, about the same as the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over DBX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 341MQ2 2024: 324MQ3 2024: 316MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 296MQ2 2025: 277MQ3 2025: 265MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 225M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 341MQ2 2024: 324MQ3 2024: 316MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 296MQ2 2025: 277MQ3 2025: 265MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 225M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.7M shares
1 year-15%-40M shares
3 years-35%-121M shares
5 years-43%-173M shares
Available history-45%-187M shares

DBX has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

DBX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

DBX has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

DBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic53.7Neutral

DBX's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

DBX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDBXSector medianRelative
PE18x28x35% below
PE %44359 pts above

DBX is trading at 18x earnings, a 35% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.83.7% below
20 week MA$33.70.7% below
50 week MA$29.115% above
100 week MA$29.016% above
200 week MA$27.124% above

DBX has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

DBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.7$24.7+39%
2021$24.7$25.0+1.3%
2022$25.0$22.5-10%
2023$22.5$29.5+31%
2024$29.5$30.5+3.5%
2025$30.5$28.0-8.3%
2026 YTD$28.0$33.5+20%

DBX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over DBX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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