DBX

Dropbox, Inc.

64
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

DBX's fundamentals are strong: it turned 36% of its revenue into free cash flow and its operating margin rose 2 points to 27%. At 18x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

DBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

DBX's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

DBX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE77x154x231x308x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE77x154x231x308x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$33.51—
Cheap15x$27.58-18%
Fair18x$34.00+1.5%
Current18x$33.51—
Expensive25x$45.96+37%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBX's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

DBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect DBX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

DBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$41.98
Downside-14%$28.85

Calculated from the latest close: $33.51 on Nov 12.

DBX's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +25% against −14%.

DBX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.50Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.40Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.80Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $3.25
Q4 2023: $1.31Q1 2024: $1.50Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.40Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.80Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $3.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.25+76%
Q3 2026$1.85+5.1%
Q2 2026$1.80+10%
Q1 2026$1.83+20%
Q4 2025$1.86+33%
Q3 2025$1.76+2.3%
Q2 2025$1.63-4.7%
Q1 2025$1.52+1.3%
Q4 2024$1.40+6.9%

DBX earned $1.85 per share over the past year, up 5.1% from the year before.

DBX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $635MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $635MQ3 2024: $639MQ4 2024: $644MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $626MQ3 2025: $634MQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $630MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $637M
Q4 2023: $635MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $635MQ3 2024: $639MQ4 2024: $644MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $626MQ3 2025: $634MQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $630MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $637M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$637.3M+0.5%
Q2 2026$631.5M+0.9%
Q1 2026$629.5M+0.8%
Q4 2025$636.2M-1.1%
Q3 2025$634.4M-0.7%
Q2 2025$625.7M-1.4%
Q1 2025$624.7M-1%
Q4 2024$643.6M+1.4%

DBX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $637M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

DBX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $270MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $154MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $203MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $252M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $270MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $154MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $203MQ2 2026: $235MQ3 2026: $252M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$251.8M-14%
Q2 2026$235.2M-9%
Q1 2026$203.3M+32%
Q4 2025$224.9M+6.8%
Q3 2025$293.7M+8.7%
Q2 2025$258.5M+15%
Q1 2025$153.7M-7.6%
Q4 2024$210.5M+11%

DBX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $915M over the past year, about the same as the year before.

DBX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 341MQ2 2024: 324MQ3 2024: 316MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 296MQ2 2025: 277MQ3 2025: 265MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 225M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 341MQ2 2024: 324MQ3 2024: 316MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 296MQ2 2025: 277MQ3 2025: 265MQ4 2025: 273MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 225M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.7M shares
1 year-15%-40M shares
3 years-35%-121M shares
5 years-43%-173M shares
Available history-45%-187M shares

DBX has 225M diluted shares, down 15% from a year ago, with $1.3B in buybacks over the past year.

DBX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

DBX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

DBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic53.7Neutral

DBX's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

DBX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDBXSector medianRelative
PE18x28x35% below
PE %44359 pts above

DBX is trading at 18x earnings, a 35% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

DBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.83.7% below
20 week MA$33.70.7% below
50 week MA$29.115% above
100 week MA$29.016% above
200 week MA$27.124% above

DBX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 24% above its 200-week average.

DBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.7$24.7+39%
2021$24.7$25.0+1.3%
2022$25.0$22.5-10%
2023$22.5$29.5+31%
2024$29.5$30.5+3.5%
2025$30.5$28.0-8.3%
2026 YTD$28.0$33.5+20%

DBX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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