DBD

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

DBD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over DBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

DBD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

DBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$1.54-97%
Forward9.8x$54.75—
Fair22x$44.94-18%
Current26x$54.75—
Expensive32x$67.83+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBD's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over DBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

DBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$71.96
Downside-19%$44.10

Calculated from the latest close: $54.75 on Nov 12.

DBD trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DBD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $47.16Q1 2024: $48.17Q2 2024: $57.03Q3 2024: $0.00Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $1.37Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.90Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $5.56
Q4 2023: $47.16Q1 2024: $48.17Q2 2024: $57.03Q3 2024: $0.00Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $1.37Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.90Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $5.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.56+166%
Q3 2026$2.09+53%
Q2 2026$3.01+$3.35
Q1 2026$2.90+$3.17
Q4 2025$2.54+$2.98
Q3 2025$1.37+$1.37
Q2 2025-$0.34-101%
Q1 2025-$0.27-101%
Q4 2024-$0.44-101%

DBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $57.03 in mid-2024.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over DBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $895MQ2 2024: $940MQ3 2024: $927MQ4 2024: $989MQ1 2025: $841MQ2 2025: $915MQ3 2025: $945MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $931MQ3 2026: $994M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $895MQ2 2024: $940MQ3 2024: $927MQ4 2024: $989MQ1 2025: $841MQ2 2025: $915MQ3 2025: $945MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $931MQ3 2026: $994M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$994.3M+5.2%
Q2 2026$930.8M+1.7%
Q1 2026$891.8M+6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+12%
Q3 2025$945.2M+2%
Q2 2025$915.2M-2.6%
Q1 2025$841.1M-6.1%
Q4 2024$988.9M-4.6%

DBD's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $994M last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over DBD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$47M
Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.4M-227%
Q2 2026-$13.6M-145%
Q1 2026$31.7M+102%
Q4 2025$217.5M+11%
Q3 2025$37.4M+$52.9M
Q2 2025$30.1M+$38.1M
Q1 2025$15.7M+$39.2M
Q4 2024$196.2M+26%

DBD has burned cash in most quarters: $188M over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over DBD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-700K shares
1 year-6.5%-2.4M shares
3 years-7.9%-3M shares
5 years-56%-43.7M shares
Available history-55%-42.2M shares

DBD has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

DBD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

DBD's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over DBD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

DBD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

DBD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDBDSector medianRelative
PE26x28x6% below
PE %612536 pts above

DBD is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over DBD on valuation relative to its sector.

DBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.811% below
20 week MA$69.721% below
50 week MA$73.325% below
100 week MA$62.412% below

NVDA has stronger trend alignment. DBD is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus NVDA above 1 of 5.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

DBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$20.1$29.0+44%
2024$29.0$42.9+48%
2025$42.9$69.3+61%
2026 YTD$69.3$54.8-21%

DBD has finished every year since 2023 higher, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over DBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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