DBD

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

DBD's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 53%, but free cash flow fell 33%. At 26x earnings, it's trading above its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

DBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

DBD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

DBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$1.54-97%
Forward9.8x$54.75—
Fair22x$44.94-18%
Current26x$54.75—
Expensive32x$67.83+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBD's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.

DBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

DBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$71.96
Downside-19%$44.10

Calculated from the latest close: $54.75 on Nov 12.

DBD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +31% against −19%.

DBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $47.16Q1 2024: $48.17Q2 2024: $57.03Q3 2024: $0.00Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $1.37Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.90Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $5.56
Q4 2023: $47.16Q1 2024: $48.17Q2 2024: $57.03Q3 2024: $0.00Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $1.37Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.90Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $5.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.56+166%
Q3 2026$2.09+53%
Q2 2026$3.01+$3.35
Q1 2026$2.90+$3.17
Q4 2025$2.54+$2.98
Q3 2025$1.37+$1.37
Q2 2025-$0.34-101%
Q1 2025-$0.27-101%
Q4 2024-$0.44-101%

DBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $57.03 in mid-2024.

DBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $895MQ2 2024: $940MQ3 2024: $927MQ4 2024: $989MQ1 2025: $841MQ2 2025: $915MQ3 2025: $945MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $931MQ3 2026: $994M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $895MQ2 2024: $940MQ3 2024: $927MQ4 2024: $989MQ1 2025: $841MQ2 2025: $915MQ3 2025: $945MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $931MQ3 2026: $994M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$994.3M+5.2%
Q2 2026$930.8M+1.7%
Q1 2026$891.8M+6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+12%
Q3 2025$945.2M+2%
Q2 2025$915.2M-2.6%
Q1 2025$841.1M-6.1%
Q4 2024$988.9M-4.6%

DBD's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $994M last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

DBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$47M
Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.4M-227%
Q2 2026-$13.6M-145%
Q1 2026$31.7M+102%
Q4 2025$217.5M+11%
Q3 2025$37.4M+$52.9M
Q2 2025$30.1M+$38.1M
Q1 2025$15.7M+$39.2M
Q4 2024$196.2M+26%

DBD has burned cash in most quarters: $188M over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

DBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-700K shares
1 year-6.5%-2.4M shares
3 years-7.9%-3M shares
5 years-56%-43.7M shares
Available history-55%-42.2M shares

DBD has 35M diluted shares, down 6.5% from a year ago, with $206M in buybacks over the past year.

DBD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

DBD's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

DBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

DBD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

DBD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDBDSector medianRelative
PE26x28x6% below
PE %612536 pts above

DBD is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

DBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.811% below
20 week MA$69.721% below
50 week MA$73.325% below
100 week MA$62.412% below

DBD is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 100-week average.

DBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$20.1$29.0+44%
2024$29.0$42.9+48%
2025$42.9$69.3+61%
2026 YTD$69.3$54.8-21%

DBD has finished every year since 2023 higher, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

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