DBD
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
DBD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over DBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
DBD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
DBD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DBD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 0.7x | $1.54 | -97% |
| Forward | 9.8x | $54.75 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $44.94 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $54.75 | — |
| Expensive | 32x | $67.83 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DBD's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over DBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DBD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect DBD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
DBD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.56 | +166% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.01 | +$3.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.90 | +$3.17 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.54 | +$2.98 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.37 | +$1.37 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.34 | -101% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.27 | -101% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.44 | -101% |
DBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $57.03 in mid-2024.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over DBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DBD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $994.3M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $930.8M | +1.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $891.8M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $945.2M | +2% |
| Q2 2025 | $915.2M | -2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $841.1M | -6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $988.9M | -4.6% |
DBD's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $994M last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9% | -3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.5% | +3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.8% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2% | -1.2 points |
DBD's operating margin was 3.9% last quarter, down 3.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over DBD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over DBD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DBD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$47.4M | -227% |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.6M | -145% |
| Q1 2026 | $31.7M | +102% |
| Q4 2025 | $217.5M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.4M | +$52.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $30.1M | +$38.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $15.7M | +$39.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $196.2M | +26% |
DBD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
DBD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -700K shares |
| 1 year | -6.5% | -2.4M shares |
| 3 years | -7.9% | -3M shares |
| 5 years | -56% | -43.7M shares |
| Available history | -55% | -42.2M shares |
DBD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $60.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $51.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $39.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $30.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $9.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3M |
DBD spent $206M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 152% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
DBD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
DBD's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over DBD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DBD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.4 | Oversold |
DBD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
DBD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DBD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 28x | 6% below |
| PE % | 61 | 25 | 36 pts above |
DBD has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
DBD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.8 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $69.7 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $73.3 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.4 | 12% below |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. DBD is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus MSFT above 4 of 5.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
DBD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $20.1 | $29.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $29.0 | $42.9 | +48% |
| 2025 | $42.9 | $69.3 | +61% |
| 2026 YTD | $69.3 | $54.8 | -21% |
DBD has finished every year since 2023 higher, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over DBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.