DBD

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated

55
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

DBD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over DBD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

DBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

DBD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

DBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$1.54-97%
Forward9.8x$54.75—
Fair22x$44.94-18%
Current26x$54.75—
Expensive32x$67.83+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBD's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over DBD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$71.96
Downside-19%$44.10

Calculated from the latest close: $54.75 on Nov 12.

DBD trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DBD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $47.16Q1 2024: $48.17Q2 2024: $57.03Q3 2024: $0.00Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $1.37Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.90Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $5.56
Q4 2023: $47.16Q1 2024: $48.17Q2 2024: $57.03Q3 2024: $0.00Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.27Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $1.37Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.90Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $5.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.56+166%
Q3 2026$2.09+53%
Q2 2026$3.01+$3.35
Q1 2026$2.90+$3.17
Q4 2025$2.54+$2.98
Q3 2025$1.37+$1.37
Q2 2025-$0.34-101%
Q1 2025-$0.27-101%
Q4 2024-$0.44-101%

DBD has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $895MQ2 2024: $940MQ3 2024: $927MQ4 2024: $989MQ1 2025: $841MQ2 2025: $915MQ3 2025: $945MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $931MQ3 2026: $994M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $895MQ2 2024: $940MQ3 2024: $927MQ4 2024: $989MQ1 2025: $841MQ2 2025: $915MQ3 2025: $945MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $931MQ3 2026: $994M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$994.3M+5.2%
Q2 2026$930.8M+1.7%
Q1 2026$891.8M+6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+12%
Q3 2025$945.2M+2%
Q2 2025$915.2M-2.6%
Q1 2025$841.1M-6.1%
Q4 2024$988.9M-4.6%

DBD has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

DBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$47M
Q4 2023: $156MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$14MQ3 2026: −$47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.4M-227%
Q2 2026-$13.6M-145%
Q1 2026$31.7M+102%
Q4 2025$217.5M+11%
Q3 2025$37.4M+$52.9M
Q2 2025$30.1M+$38.1M
Q1 2025$15.7M+$39.2M
Q4 2024$196.2M+26%

DBD has burned cash in most quarters: $188M over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over DBD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-700K shares
1 year-6.5%-2.4M shares
3 years-7.9%-3M shares
5 years-56%-43.7M shares
Available history-55%-42.2M shares

DBD has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

DBD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

DBD's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over DBD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

DBD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

DBD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDBDSector medianRelative
PE26x28x6% below
PE %612536 pts above

DBD is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.811% below
20 week MA$69.721% below
50 week MA$73.325% below
100 week MA$62.412% below

INTC has stronger trend alignment. DBD is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus INTC above 2 of 5.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

DBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$20.1$29.0+44%
2024$29.0$42.9+48%
2025$42.9$69.3+61%
2026 YTD$69.3$54.8-21%

DBD has finished every year since 2023 higher, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over DBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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