DAN

Dana Incorporated

67
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DAN has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

DAN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

DAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.4x$23.26—
Cheap5.9x$56.02+141%
Forward6.6x$23.26—
Fair16x$152+553%
Expensive53x$506+2075%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DAN has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over DAN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

DAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$48.47
Downside-12%$20.54

Calculated from the latest close: $23.26 on Nov 12.

DAN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails DAN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54-63%
Q3 2026$9.55+2022%
Q2 2026$10.05+$10.21
Q1 2026$10.29+$10.53
Q4 2025$0.57+$0.96
Q3 2025$0.45+$0.56
Q2 2025-$0.16-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.24-367%
Q4 2024-$0.39-250%

DAN has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

DAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.3%
Q2 2026$2B+3.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B-21%
Q4 2025$1.9B-20%
Q3 2025$1.9B-23%
Q2 2025$1.9B-29%
Q1 2025$2.4B-14%
Q4 2024$2.3B-6.4%

DAN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over DAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32M-48%
Q2 2026-$33M-1200%
Q1 2026-$257M-$145M
Q4 2025$345M+132%
Q3 2025$62M+$73M
Q2 2025$3M-97%
Q1 2025-$112M+$60M
Q4 2024$149M+9.6%

DAN has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

DAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4M shares
1 year-19%-25.3M shares
3 years-27%-39.2M shares
5 years-28%-40.7M shares
Available history-27%-39.6M shares

DAN has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

DAN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over DAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic7.3Oversold

DAN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

DAN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDANSector medianRelative
PE2.4x18x86% below
PE %24745 pts below

DAN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.011% below
20 week MA$27.716% below
50 week MA$29.822% below
100 week MA$23.20.4% above
200 week MA$18.327% above

DAN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over DAN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.4$19.6+6.7%
2021$19.6$22.5+15%
2022$22.5$14.9-34%
2023$14.9$14.6-2.1%
2024$14.6$11.7-20%
2025$11.7$23.9+104%
2026 YTD$23.9$23.3-2.6%

DAN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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