DAN

Dana Incorporated

67
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DAN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 2.4x earnings, less than half its usual 16x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

DAN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

DAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.4x$23.26—
Cheap5.9x$56.02+141%
Forward6.6x$23.26—
Fair16x$152+553%
Expensive53x$506+2075%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DAN's PE is in its cheap range at 2.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.6x.

DAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$48.47
Downside-12%$20.54

Calculated from the latest close: $23.26 on Nov 12.

DAN's one-year upside scenario is about nine times its downside: +108% against −12%.

DAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54-63%
Q3 2026$9.55+2022%
Q2 2026$10.05+$10.21
Q1 2026$10.29+$10.53
Q4 2025$0.57+$0.96
Q3 2025$0.45+$0.56
Q2 2025-$0.16-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.24-367%
Q4 2024-$0.39-250%

DAN earned $9.55 per share over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before.

DAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.3%
Q2 2026$2B+3.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B-21%
Q4 2025$1.9B-20%
Q3 2025$1.9B-23%
Q2 2025$1.9B-29%
Q1 2025$2.4B-14%
Q4 2024$2.3B-6.4%

DAN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

DAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32M-48%
Q2 2026-$33M-1200%
Q1 2026-$257M-$145M
Q4 2025$345M+132%
Q3 2025$62M+$73M
Q2 2025$3M-97%
Q1 2025-$112M+$60M
Q4 2024$149M+9.6%

DAN generated $87M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

DAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4M shares
1 year-19%-25.3M shares
3 years-27%-39.2M shares
5 years-28%-40.7M shares
Available history-27%-39.6M shares

DAN has 106M diluted shares, down 19% from a year ago, with $580M in buybacks over the past year.

DAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

DAN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

DAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic7.3Oversold

DAN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DAN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDANSector medianRelative
PE2.4x18x86% below
PE %24745 pts below

DAN is trading at 2.4x earnings, a 86% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.011% below
20 week MA$27.716% below
50 week MA$29.822% below
100 week MA$23.20.4% above
200 week MA$18.327% above

DAN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

DAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.4$19.6+6.7%
2021$19.6$22.5+15%
2022$22.5$14.9-34%
2023$14.9$14.6-2.1%
2024$14.6$11.7-20%
2025$11.7$23.9+104%
2026 YTD$23.9$23.3-2.6%

DAN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.6% so far in 2026.

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