DAN
Dana Incorporated
DAN has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
DAN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
DAN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
DAN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2.4x | $23.26 | — |
| Cheap | 5.9x | $56.02 | +141% |
| Forward | 6.6x | $23.26 | — |
| Fair | 16x | $152 | +553% |
| Expensive | 53x | $506 | +2075% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DAN's PE is in its cheap range at 2.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.6x.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DAN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over DAN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
DAN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.54 | -63% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.55 | +2022% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.05 | +$10.21 |
| Q1 2026 | $10.29 | +$10.53 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.57 | +$0.96 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.45 | +$0.56 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.16 | -$0.15 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.24 | -367% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.39 | -250% |
DAN has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
DAN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | -20% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | -6.4% |
DAN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.8% | -3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.5% | -2 points |
DAN has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over DAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DAN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $32M | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | -$33M | -1200% |
| Q1 2026 | -$257M | -$145M |
| Q4 2025 | $345M | +132% |
| Q3 2025 | $62M | +$73M |
| Q2 2025 | $3M | -97% |
| Q1 2025 | -$112M | +$60M |
| Q4 2024 | $149M | +9.6% |
DAN generated $87M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
DAN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.7% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -19% | -25.3M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -39.2M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -40.7M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -39.6M shares |
DAN has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $200M |
| Q2 2026 | $44M |
| Q1 2026 | $125M |
| Q4 2025 | $211M |
| Q3 2025 | $182M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
DAN spent $580M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
DAN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
DAN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
DAN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.3 | Oversold |
DAN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
DAN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DAN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 2.4x | 18x | 86% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
DAN is trading at 2.4x earnings, a 86% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DAN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $26.0 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $27.7 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.8 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $23.2 | 0.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $18.3 | 27% above |
DAN has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
DAN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.4 | $19.6 | +6.7% |
| 2021 | $19.6 | $22.5 | +15% |
| 2022 | $22.5 | $14.9 | -34% |
| 2023 | $14.9 | $14.6 | -2.1% |
| 2024 | $14.6 | $11.7 | -20% |
| 2025 | $11.7 | $23.9 | +104% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.9 | $23.3 | -2.6% |
DAN has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.