DAN

Dana Incorporated

67
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DAN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

DAN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.4x$23.26—
Cheap5.9x$56.02+141%
Forward6.6x$23.26—
Fair16x$152+553%
Expensive53x$506+2075%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DAN's PE is in its cheap range at 2.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.6x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$48.47
Downside-12%$20.54

Calculated from the latest close: $23.26 on Nov 12.

DAN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails DAN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54-63%
Q3 2026$9.55+2022%
Q2 2026$10.05+$10.21
Q1 2026$10.29+$10.53
Q4 2025$0.57+$0.96
Q3 2025$0.45+$0.56
Q2 2025-$0.16-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.24-367%
Q4 2024-$0.39-250%

DAN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

DAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.3%
Q2 2026$2B+3.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B-21%
Q4 2025$1.9B-20%
Q3 2025$1.9B-23%
Q2 2025$1.9B-29%
Q1 2025$2.4B-14%
Q4 2024$2.3B-6.4%

DAN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over DAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32M-48%
Q2 2026-$33M-1200%
Q1 2026-$257M-$145M
Q4 2025$345M+132%
Q3 2025$62M+$73M
Q2 2025$3M-97%
Q1 2025-$112M+$60M
Q4 2024$149M+9.6%

DAN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

DAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4M shares
1 year-19%-25.3M shares
3 years-27%-39.2M shares
5 years-28%-40.7M shares
Available history-27%-39.6M shares

DAN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

DAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

DAN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic7.3Oversold

DAN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DAN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDANSector medianRelative
PE2.4x18x86% below
PE %24745 pts below

DAN is trading at 2.4x earnings, a 86% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.011% below
20 week MA$27.716% below
50 week MA$29.822% below
100 week MA$23.20.4% above
200 week MA$18.327% above

DAN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

DAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.4$19.6+6.7%
2021$19.6$22.5+15%
2022$22.5$14.9-34%
2023$14.9$14.6-2.1%
2024$14.6$11.7-20%
2025$11.7$23.9+104%
2026 YTD$23.9$23.3-2.6%

DAN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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