DAN

Dana Incorporated

67
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DAN has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

DAN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.4x$23.26—
Cheap5.9x$56.02+141%
Forward6.6x$23.26—
Fair16x$152+553%
Expensive53x$506+2075%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DAN's PE is in its cheap range at 2.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.6x.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$48.47
Downside-12%$20.54

Calculated from the latest close: $23.26 on Nov 12.

DAN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails DAN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54-63%
Q3 2026$9.55+2022%
Q2 2026$10.05+$10.21
Q1 2026$10.29+$10.53
Q4 2025$0.57+$0.96
Q3 2025$0.45+$0.56
Q2 2025-$0.16-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.24-367%
Q4 2024-$0.39-250%

DAN has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.3%
Q2 2026$2B+3.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B-21%
Q4 2025$1.9B-20%
Q3 2025$1.9B-23%
Q2 2025$1.9B-29%
Q1 2025$2.4B-14%
Q4 2024$2.3B-6.4%

DAN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over DAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32M-48%
Q2 2026-$33M-1200%
Q1 2026-$257M-$145M
Q4 2025$345M+132%
Q3 2025$62M+$73M
Q2 2025$3M-97%
Q1 2025-$112M+$60M
Q4 2024$149M+9.6%

DAN generated $87M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over DAN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4M shares
1 year-19%-25.3M shares
3 years-27%-39.2M shares
5 years-28%-40.7M shares
Available history-27%-39.6M shares

DAN has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

DAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

DAN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over DAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic7.3Oversold

DAN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

DAN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDANSector medianRelative
PE2.4x18x86% below
PE %24745 pts below

DAN is trading at 2.4x earnings, a 86% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.011% below
20 week MA$27.716% below
50 week MA$29.822% below
100 week MA$23.20.4% above
200 week MA$18.327% above

DAN has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

DAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.4$19.6+6.7%
2021$19.6$22.5+15%
2022$22.5$14.9-34%
2023$14.9$14.6-2.1%
2024$14.6$11.7-20%
2025$11.7$23.9+104%
2026 YTD$23.9$23.3-2.6%

DAN has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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