DAN

Dana Incorporated

67
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DAN has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

DAN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

DAN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x81x122x162x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.4x$23.26—
Cheap5.9x$56.02+141%
Forward6.6x$23.26—
Fair16x$152+553%
Expensive53x$506+2075%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DAN has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DAN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over DAN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

DAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$48.47
Downside-12%$20.54

Calculated from the latest close: $23.26 on Nov 12.

DAN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails DAN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.11Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.16Q3 2025: $0.45Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $10.29Q2 2026: $10.05Q3 2026: $9.55Forward: $3.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.54-63%
Q3 2026$9.55+2022%
Q2 2026$10.05+$10.21
Q1 2026$10.29+$10.53
Q4 2025$0.57+$0.96
Q3 2025$0.45+$0.56
Q2 2025-$0.16-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.24-367%
Q4 2024-$0.39-250%

DAN earned $9.55 per share over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

DAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.3%
Q2 2026$2B+3.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B-21%
Q4 2025$1.9B-20%
Q3 2025$1.9B-23%
Q2 2025$1.9B-29%
Q1 2025$2.4B-14%
Q4 2024$2.3B-6.4%

DAN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over DAN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: −$172MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: −$257MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32M-48%
Q2 2026-$33M-1200%
Q1 2026-$257M-$145M
Q4 2025$345M+132%
Q3 2025$62M+$73M
Q2 2025$3M-97%
Q1 2025-$112M+$60M
Q4 2024$149M+9.6%

DAN generated $87M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over DAN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 144MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4M shares
1 year-19%-25.3M shares
3 years-27%-39.2M shares
5 years-28%-40.7M shares
Available history-27%-39.6M shares

DAN has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

DAN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

DAN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over DAN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic7.3Oversold

DAN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

DAN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDANSector medianRelative
PE2.4x18x86% below
PE %24745 pts below

DAN has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.011% below
20 week MA$27.716% below
50 week MA$29.822% below
100 week MA$23.20.4% above
200 week MA$18.327% above

DAN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over DAN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.4$19.6+6.7%
2021$19.6$22.5+15%
2022$22.5$14.9-34%
2023$14.9$14.6-2.1%
2024$14.6$11.7-20%
2025$11.7$23.9+104%
2026 YTD$23.9$23.3-2.6%

DAN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.6% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over DAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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