DAC

Danaos Corporation

49
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

DAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over DAC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

DAC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.6x5.3x7.9x11x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.6x5.3x7.9x11x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap1.6x$48.02-68%
Fair2.7x$79.64-48%
Expensive4x$119-21%
Current5.1x$152—
Forward5.5x$152—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DAC's PE is in its expensive range at 5.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.5x.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect DAC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over DAC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

DAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$173.49
Downside-18%$124.12

Calculated from the latest close: $151.79 on Nov 12.

DAC trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DAC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DAC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $28.78Q4 2023: $28.96Q1 2024: $29.46Q2 2024: $29.37Q3 2024: $28.91Q4 2024: $25.87Q1 2025: $24.32Q2 2025: $24.21Q3 2025: $25.02Q4 2025: $26.78Q1 2026: $28.35Q2 2026: $29.55Forward: $27.63
Q3 2023: $28.78Q4 2023: $28.96Q1 2024: $29.46Q2 2024: $29.37Q3 2024: $28.91Q4 2024: $25.87Q1 2025: $24.32Q2 2025: $24.21Q3 2025: $25.02Q4 2025: $26.78Q1 2026: $28.35Q2 2026: $29.55Forward: $27.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$27.63-6.5%
Q2 2026$29.55+22%
Q1 2026$28.35+17%
Q4 2025$26.78+3.5%
Q3 2025$25.02-13%
Q2 2025$24.21-18%
Q1 2025$24.32-17%
Q4 2024$25.87-11%
Q3 2024$28.91+0.5%

DAC has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

DAC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $239MQ4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $253MQ2 2024: $246MQ3 2024: $256MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: $262MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $274M
Q3 2023: $239MQ4 2023: $249MQ1 2024: $253MQ2 2024: $246MQ3 2024: $256MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: $262MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $274M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$274.4M+4.7%
Q1 2026$253.7M+0.2%
Q4 2025$266.3M+3.1%
Q3 2025$260.7M+1.8%
Q2 2025$262.2M+6.4%
Q1 2025$253.3M-0.1%
Q4 2024$258.2M+3.6%
Q3 2024$256.2M+7.1%

DAC's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $274M last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

DAC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $51MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: −$82MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $147MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $65MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $20M
Q3 2023: $51MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: −$82MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $147MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $65MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$20.5M-86%
Q1 2026$11.5M-76%
Q4 2025$65.2M-17%
Q3 2025$80M+$161.8M
Q2 2025$147.3M+$210.7M
Q1 2025$48.2M+65%
Q4 2024$78.5M+2955%
Q3 2024-$81.8M-259%

DAC has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

DAC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18M
Q3 2023: 20MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+23K shares
1 year-0.8%-140K shares
3 years-9.1%-1.8M shares
5 years-11%-2.3M shares
Available history+19%+2.9M shares

DAC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

DAC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low
Q3 20240.4xVery low

DAC's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic47.2Neutral

DAC's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

DAC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricDACSector medianRelative
PE5.1x24x79% below
PE %935835 pts above

DAC is trading at 5.1x earnings, a 79% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.73.8% below
20 week MA$149.01.9% above
50 week MA$127.020% above
100 week MA$106.343% above
200 week MA$89.370% above

DAC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

DAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.07$21.0+132%
2021$21.0$70.1+234%
2022$70.1$54.6-22%
2023$54.6$74.1+36%
2024$74.1$78.9+6.5%
2025$78.9$94.7+20%
2026 YTD$94.7$151.8+60%

DAC has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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