CWST

Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CWST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over CWST overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CWST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure

CWST's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CWST PE Valuation

CWST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

CWST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CWST, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

CWST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$128.77
Downside-21%$78.94

Calculated from the latest close: $100.29 on Nov 12.

CWST trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CWST, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CWST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.23Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.18Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $1.58
Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.23Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.18Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $1.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.58—
Q3 2026-$0.18-175%
Q2 2026$0.09-50%
Q1 2026$0.11-50%
Q4 2025$0.12-48%
Q3 2025$0.24+85%
Q2 2025$0.18-47%
Q1 2025$0.22-31%
Q4 2024$0.23-50%

CWST has swung to a loss: it lost $0.18 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over CWST on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CWST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $360MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $377MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $417MQ2 2025: $465MQ3 2025: $485MQ4 2025: $469MQ1 2026: $457MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $559M
Q4 2023: $360MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $377MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $417MQ2 2025: $465MQ3 2025: $485MQ4 2025: $469MQ1 2026: $457MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $559M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$559.2M+15%
Q2 2026$543.7M+17%
Q1 2026$457.3M+9.6%
Q4 2025$469.1M+9.7%
Q3 2025$485.4M+18%
Q2 2025$465.3M+23%
Q1 2025$417.1M+22%
Q4 2024$427.5M+19%

CWST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $559M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over CWST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CWST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6M-91%
Q2 2026$26.5M+14%
Q1 2026$12.3M+$17.6M
Q4 2025$39.3M+19%
Q3 2025$27.6M-32%
Q2 2025$23.1M-16%
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$17.2M
Q4 2024$32.9M+207%

CWST generated $81M in free cash flow over the past year, up 3% from the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over CWST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CWST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-43K shares
1 year+0.1%+51K shares
3 years+9.6%+5.6M shares
5 years+23%+12.1M shares
Available history+31%+15.1M shares

CWST has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CWST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

CWST's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over CWST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CWST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.4Neutral
Stochastic86.3Overbought

CWST's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CWST PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCWSTSector medianRelative
PE1,091x24x4,434% above
PE %1005842 pts above

CWST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT has the edge over CWST on valuation relative to its sector.

CWST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$90.810% above
20 week MA$91.79.4% above
50 week MA$91.89.3% above
100 week MA$98.51.8% above
200 week MA$94.66% above

CWST has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

CWST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.8$61.6+34%
2021$61.6$83.5+36%
2022$83.5$80.7-3.3%
2023$80.7$85.5+5.9%
2024$85.5$106.2+24%
2025$106.2$101.1-4.7%
2026 YTD$101.1$100.3-0.8%

CWST has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 0.8% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over CWST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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