CWST

Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CWST lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

CWST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure

CWST's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

CWST PE Valuation

CWST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CWST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CWST, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CWST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$128.77
Downside-21%$78.94

Calculated from the latest close: $100.29 on Nov 12.

CWST's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +28% against −21%.

CWST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.23Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.18Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $1.56
Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.23Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.18Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $1.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.56—
Q3 2026-$0.18-175%
Q2 2026$0.09-50%
Q1 2026$0.11-50%
Q4 2025$0.12-48%
Q3 2025$0.24+85%
Q2 2025$0.18-47%
Q1 2025$0.22-31%
Q4 2024$0.23-50%

CWST has swung to a loss: it lost $0.18 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CWST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $360MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $377MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $417MQ2 2025: $465MQ3 2025: $485MQ4 2025: $469MQ1 2026: $457MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $559M
Q4 2023: $360MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $377MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $417MQ2 2025: $465MQ3 2025: $485MQ4 2025: $469MQ1 2026: $457MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $559M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$559.2M+15%
Q2 2026$543.7M+17%
Q1 2026$457.3M+9.6%
Q4 2025$469.1M+9.7%
Q3 2025$485.4M+18%
Q2 2025$465.3M+23%
Q1 2025$417.1M+22%
Q4 2024$427.5M+19%

CWST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $559M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

CWST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6M-91%
Q2 2026$26.5M+14%
Q1 2026$12.3M+$17.6M
Q4 2025$39.3M+19%
Q3 2025$27.6M-32%
Q2 2025$23.1M-16%
Q1 2025-$5.4M+$17.2M
Q4 2024$32.9M+207%

CWST generated $81M in free cash flow over the past year, up 3% from the year before.

CWST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-43K shares
1 year+0.1%+51K shares
3 years+9.6%+5.6M shares
5 years+23%+12.1M shares
Available history+31%+15.1M shares

CWST has 64M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CWST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

CWST's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

CWST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.4Neutral
Stochastic86.3Overbought

CWST's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

CWST PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCWSTSector medianRelative
PE1,091x24x4,441% above
PE %1005842 pts above

CWST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CWST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$90.810% above
20 week MA$91.79.4% above
50 week MA$91.89.3% above
100 week MA$98.51.8% above
200 week MA$94.66% above

CWST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% above its 200-week average.

CWST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.8$61.6+34%
2021$61.6$83.5+36%
2022$83.5$80.7-3.3%
2023$80.7$85.5+5.9%
2024$85.5$106.2+24%
2025$106.2$101.1-4.7%
2026 YTD$101.1$100.3-0.8%

CWST has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 0.8% so far in 2026.

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