CVNA
Carvana Co.
CVNA has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CVNA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
CVNA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CVNA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 34x | $70.84 | — |
| Forward | 35x | $70.84 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $75.86 | +7.1% |
| Fair | 83x | $173 | +144% |
| Expensive | 113x | $235 | +231% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CVNA has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CVNA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CVNA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over CVNA on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
CVNA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.05 | -1.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.08 | +136% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.89 | +136% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.73 | +204% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.69 | +428% |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.22 | +$0.57 |
| Q2 2023 | -$2.51 | -$1.18 |
| Q1 2023 | -$2.87 | -$2.06 |
| Q4 2022 | -$3.15 | -$2.82 |
CVNA has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
CVNA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8B | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.4B | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.4B | +52% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6B | +58% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.6B | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.8B | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2B | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B | +46% |
CVNA has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.9% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.6% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.3% | N/A |
CVNA has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CVNA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $491M | +60% |
| Q2 2026 | $187M | +$189M |
| Q1 2026 | $56M | -73% |
| Q4 2025 | $379M | +953% |
| Q3 2025 | $307M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2M | -101% |
| Q1 2025 | $205M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $36M | +$293M |
CVNA has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
CVNA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -50K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +23.8M shares |
| 3 years | +40% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +123% | +408M shares |
CVNA has 740M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $2M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over CVNA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
CVNA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2021 | 186.0x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 128.9x | High |
CVNA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
CVNA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.9 | Neutral |
CVNA's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
CVNA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVNA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 18x | 89% above |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
CVNA has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CVNA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $65.2 | 8.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $67.3 | 5.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $71.3 | 0.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $64.7 | 9.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $40.2 | 76% above |
CVNA's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 76% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over CVNA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CVNA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.6 | $54.9 | +181% |
| 2021 | $54.9 | $48.2 | -12% |
| 2022 | $48.2 | $0.81 | -98% |
| 2023 | $0.81 | $10.6 | +1207% |
| 2024 | $10.6 | $43.0 | +306% |
| 2025 | $43.0 | $87.7 | +104% |
| 2026 YTD | $87.7 | $70.8 | -19% |
CVNA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1207% in 2023 to −98% in 2022. It's down 19% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over CVNA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.