CVNA

Carvana Co.

72
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

CVNA's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 34x earnings, less than half its usual 83x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CVNA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

CVNA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

CVNA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x125x167x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x125x167x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current34x$70.84—
Forward35x$70.84—
Cheap36x$75.86+7.1%
Fair83x$173+144%
Expensive113x$235+231%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVNA's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x.

CVNA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CVNA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVNA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$122.47
Downside-29%$50.56

Calculated from the latest close: $70.84 on Nov 12.

CVNA's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +73% against −29%.

CVNA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.69Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.89Q3 2026: $2.08Forward: $2.05
Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.69Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.89Q3 2026: $2.08Forward: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.05-1.4%
Q3 2026$2.08+136%
Q2 2026$1.89+136%
Q1 2026$1.73+204%
Q4 2025$1.69+428%
Q3 2023-$1.22+$0.57
Q2 2023-$2.51-$1.18
Q1 2023-$2.87-$2.06
Q4 2022-$3.15-$2.82

CVNA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.08 over the past year, up 136% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

CVNA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $4.2BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $4.2BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8B+42%
Q2 2026$7.4B+52%
Q1 2026$6.4B+52%
Q4 2025$5.6B+58%
Q3 2025$5.6B+55%
Q2 2025$4.8B+42%
Q1 2025$4.2B+38%
Q4 2024$3.5B+46%

CVNA's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $8B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVNA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$257MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $379MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $491M
Q4 2023: −$257MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $379MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $491M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$491M+60%
Q2 2026$187M+$189M
Q1 2026$56M-73%
Q4 2025$379M+953%
Q3 2025$307M-18%
Q2 2025-$2M-101%
Q1 2025$205M+147%
Q4 2024$36M+$293M

CVNA generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 104% from the year before.

CVNA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 642MQ3 2024: 668MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 716MQ3 2025: 731MQ1 2026: 740MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 740M
Q1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 642MQ3 2024: 668MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 716MQ3 2025: 731MQ1 2026: 740MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 740M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-50K shares
1 year+3.3%+23.8M shares
3 years+40%+211M shares
5 years+123%+408M shares

CVNA has 740M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

CVNA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2021186.0xHigh
Q2 2021128.9xHigh

CVNA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CVNA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.9Neutral
Stochastic67.9Neutral

CVNA's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

CVNA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVNASector medianRelative
PE34x18x89% above
PE %84739 pts below

CVNA is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CVNA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.28.6% above
20 week MA$67.35.3% above
50 week MA$71.30.7% below
100 week MA$64.79.5% above
200 week MA$40.276% above

CVNA's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 76% above its 200-week average.

CVNA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$54.9+181%
2021$54.9$48.2-12%
2022$48.2$0.81-98%
2023$0.81$10.6+1207%
2024$10.6$43.0+306%
2025$43.0$87.7+104%
2026 YTD$87.7$70.8-19%

CVNA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1207% in 2023 to −98% in 2022. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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