CVNA

Carvana Co.

72
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

CVNA has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CVNA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

CVNA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CVNA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x125x167x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x125x167x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current34x$70.84—
Forward35x$70.84—
Cheap36x$75.86+7.1%
Fair83x$173+144%
Expensive113x$235+231%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVNA's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVNA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CVNA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over CVNA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CVNA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$122.47
Downside-29%$50.56

Calculated from the latest close: $70.84 on Nov 12.

CVNA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails CVNA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CVNA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.69Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.89Q3 2026: $2.08Forward: $2.05
Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.69Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.89Q3 2026: $2.08Forward: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.05-1.4%
Q3 2026$2.08+136%
Q2 2026$1.89+136%
Q1 2026$1.73+204%
Q4 2025$1.69+428%
Q3 2023-$1.22+$0.57
Q2 2023-$2.51-$1.18
Q1 2023-$2.87-$2.06
Q4 2022-$3.15-$2.82

CVNA has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

CVNA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $4.2BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $4.2BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8B+42%
Q2 2026$7.4B+52%
Q1 2026$6.4B+52%
Q4 2025$5.6B+58%
Q3 2025$5.6B+55%
Q2 2025$4.8B+42%
Q1 2025$4.2B+38%
Q4 2024$3.5B+46%

CVNA has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVNA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$257MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $379MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $491M
Q4 2023: −$257MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $379MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $491M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$491M+60%
Q2 2026$187M+$189M
Q1 2026$56M-73%
Q4 2025$379M+953%
Q3 2025$307M-18%
Q2 2025-$2M-101%
Q1 2025$205M+147%
Q4 2024$36M+$293M

CVNA has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

CVNA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 642MQ3 2024: 668MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 716MQ3 2025: 731MQ1 2026: 740MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 740M
Q1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 642MQ3 2024: 668MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 716MQ3 2025: 731MQ1 2026: 740MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 740M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-50K shares
1 year+3.3%+23.8M shares
3 years+40%+211M shares
5 years+123%+408M shares

CVNA has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

CVNA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2021186.0xHigh
Q2 2021128.9xHigh

CVNA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CVNA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.9Neutral
Stochastic67.9Neutral

CVNA's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CVNA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVNASector medianRelative
PE34x18x89% above
PE %84739 pts below

CVNA is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVNA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.28.6% above
20 week MA$67.35.3% above
50 week MA$71.30.7% below
100 week MA$64.79.5% above
200 week MA$40.276% above

CVNA has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

CVNA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$54.9+181%
2021$54.9$48.2-12%
2022$48.2$0.81-98%
2023$0.81$10.6+1207%
2024$10.6$43.0+306%
2025$43.0$87.7+104%
2026 YTD$87.7$70.8-19%

CVNA has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key