CVNA
Carvana Co.
CVNA has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CVNA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
CVNA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
CVNA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 34x | $70.84 | — |
| Forward | 35x | $70.84 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $75.86 | +7.1% |
| Fair | 83x | $173 | +144% |
| Expensive | 113x | $235 | +231% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CVNA has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CVNA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CVNA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
EBAY has the edge over CVNA on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
CVNA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.05 | -1.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.08 | +136% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.89 | +136% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.73 | +204% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.69 | +428% |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.22 | +$0.57 |
| Q2 2023 | -$2.51 | -$1.18 |
| Q1 2023 | -$2.87 | -$2.06 |
| Q4 2022 | -$3.15 | -$2.82 |
CVNA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.08 over the past year, up 136% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
CVNA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8B | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.4B | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.4B | +52% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6B | +58% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.6B | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.8B | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2B | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B | +46% |
CVNA has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.9% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.6% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.3% | N/A |
CVNA's operating margin was 8.9% last quarter, down 0.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over CVNA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CVNA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $491M | +60% |
| Q2 2026 | $187M | +$189M |
| Q1 2026 | $56M | -73% |
| Q4 2025 | $379M | +953% |
| Q3 2025 | $307M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2M | -101% |
| Q1 2025 | $205M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $36M | +$293M |
CVNA generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 104% from the year before.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
CVNA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -50K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +23.8M shares |
| 3 years | +40% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +123% | +408M shares |
CVNA has 740M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $2M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over CVNA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
CVNA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2021 | 186.0x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 128.9x | High |
CVNA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
CVNA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.9 | Neutral |
CVNA's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
CVNA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVNA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 18x | 89% above |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
CVNA is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over CVNA on valuation relative to its sector.
CVNA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $65.2 | 8.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $67.3 | 5.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $71.3 | 0.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $64.7 | 9.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $40.2 | 76% above |
CVNA's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 76% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over CVNA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CVNA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.6 | $54.9 | +181% |
| 2021 | $54.9 | $48.2 | -12% |
| 2022 | $48.2 | $0.81 | -98% |
| 2023 | $0.81 | $10.6 | +1207% |
| 2024 | $10.6 | $43.0 | +306% |
| 2025 | $43.0 | $87.7 | +104% |
| 2026 YTD | $87.7 | $70.8 | -19% |
CVNA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1207% in 2023 to −98% in 2022. It's down 19% so far in 2026.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over CVNA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.