CVLG

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

49
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CVLG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over CVLG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CVLG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

CVLG's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CVLG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x123x185x246x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x123x185x246x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$1.24-96%
Forward13x$32.82—
Fair16x$3.45-90%
Expensive82x$17.22-48%
Current156x$32.82—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVLG's PE is in its expensive range at 156x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVLG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVLG, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVLG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$49.84
Downside-14%$28.12

Calculated from the latest close: $32.82 on Nov 12.

CVLG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails CVLG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CVLG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.00Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.40Q2 2025: $1.31Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.21Forward: $2.56
Q4 2023: $2.00Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.40Q2 2025: $1.31Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.21Forward: $2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.56+1120%
Q3 2026$0.21-82%
Q2 2026$0.16-88%
Q1 2026$0.20-86%
Q4 2025$0.27-79%
Q3 2025$1.19-21%
Q2 2025$1.31-14%
Q1 2025$1.40-9.1%
Q4 2024$1.30-35%

CVLG has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

CVLG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $288MQ4 2024: $277MQ1 2025: $269MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $297MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $307MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $288MQ4 2024: $277MQ1 2025: $269MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $297MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $307MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$353.9M+19%
Q2 2026$332.9M+9.9%
Q1 2026$307.2M+14%
Q4 2025$295.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$296.9M+3.1%
Q2 2025$302.9M+5.3%
Q1 2025$269.4M-3.4%
Q4 2024$277.3M+1.2%

CVLG's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $354M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over CVLG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVLG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$74MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $464,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$45MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$74MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $464,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$45MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M+$687K
Q2 2026-$44.7M-$30.1M
Q1 2026$17.6M+$26.2M
Q4 2025-$3M-742%
Q3 2025-$7.8M-132%
Q2 2025-$14.5M+$13.6M
Q1 2025-$8.6M+$18.1M
Q4 2024$464K+$74.2M

CVLG has the edge over RKLB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

CVLG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+14K shares
1 year+1.1%+302K shares
3 years-2.8%-755K shares
5 years-22%-7.3M shares
Available history-29%-10.7M shares

CVLG has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

CVLG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CVLG's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CVLG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.2Neutral
Stochastic35.2Neutral

CVLG's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

CVLG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCVLGSector medianRelative
PE156x24x549% above
PE %905832 pts above

CVLG is trading at 156x earnings, a 549% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVLG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.73.6% above
20 week MA$35.98.5% below
50 week MA$32.60.8% above
100 week MA$27.918% above
200 week MA$25.429% above

CVLG has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

CVLG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.45$7.70+19%
2021$7.70$12.0+56%
2022$12.0$18.0+49%
2023$18.0$23.0+28%
2024$23.0$27.3+19%
2025$27.3$22.4-18%
2026 YTD$22.4$32.8+46%

CVLG has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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