CVLG

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

49
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CVLG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 156x earnings, about 10 times its usual 16x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CVLG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

CVLG's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CVLG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x123x185x246x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x123x185x246x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$1.24-96%
Forward13x$32.82—
Fair16x$3.45-90%
Expensive82x$17.22-48%
Current156x$32.82—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVLG's PE is in its expensive range at 156x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CVLG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVLG, with profitability improving.

CVLG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$49.84
Downside-14%$28.12

Calculated from the latest close: $32.82 on Nov 12.

CVLG's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +52% against −14%.

CVLG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.00Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.40Q2 2025: $1.31Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.21Forward: $2.56
Q4 2023: $2.00Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.40Q2 2025: $1.31Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.21Forward: $2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.56+1120%
Q3 2026$0.21-82%
Q2 2026$0.16-88%
Q1 2026$0.20-86%
Q4 2025$0.27-79%
Q3 2025$1.19-21%
Q2 2025$1.31-14%
Q1 2025$1.40-9.1%
Q4 2024$1.30-35%

CVLG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.21 over the past year, against $3.65 in late 2022.

CVLG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $288MQ4 2024: $277MQ1 2025: $269MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $297MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $307MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $288MQ4 2024: $277MQ1 2025: $269MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $297MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $307MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$353.9M+19%
Q2 2026$332.9M+9.9%
Q1 2026$307.2M+14%
Q4 2025$295.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$296.9M+3.1%
Q2 2025$302.9M+5.3%
Q1 2025$269.4M-3.4%
Q4 2024$277.3M+1.2%

CVLG's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $354M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVLG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$74MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $464,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$45MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$74MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $464,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$45MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M+$687K
Q2 2026-$44.7M-$30.1M
Q1 2026$17.6M+$26.2M
Q4 2025-$3M-742%
Q3 2025-$7.8M-132%
Q2 2025-$14.5M+$13.6M
Q1 2025-$8.6M+$18.1M
Q4 2024$464K+$74.2M

CVLG has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$37M over the past year, against −$30M the year before.

CVLG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+14K shares
1 year+1.1%+302K shares
3 years-2.8%-755K shares
5 years-22%-7.3M shares
Available history-29%-10.7M shares

CVLG has 27M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

CVLG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CVLG's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

CVLG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.2Neutral
Stochastic35.2Neutral

CVLG's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

CVLG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCVLGSector medianRelative
PE156x24x550% above
PE %905832 pts above

CVLG is trading at 156x earnings, a 550% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CVLG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.73.6% above
20 week MA$35.98.5% below
50 week MA$32.60.8% above
100 week MA$27.918% above
200 week MA$25.429% above

CVLG's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 200-week average.

CVLG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.45$7.70+19%
2021$7.70$12.0+56%
2022$12.0$18.0+49%
2023$18.0$23.0+28%
2024$23.0$27.3+19%
2025$27.3$22.4-18%
2026 YTD$22.4$32.8+46%

CVLG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 46% so far in 2026.

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