CRTO

Criteo S.A.

50
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

CRTO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over CRTO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CRTO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable

CRTO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CRTO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$17.43—
Cheap8.6x$11.90-32%
Current13x$17.43—
Fair19x$26.52+52%
Expensive33x$45.77+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRTO's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over CRTO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRTO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CRTO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over CRTO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CRTO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$21.06
Downside-43%$9.85

Calculated from the latest close: $17.43 on Nov 12.

CRTO trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRTO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRTO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.59+160%
Q3 2026$1.38-53%
Q2 2026$1.97-17%
Q1 2026$2.14-12%
Q4 2025$2.65+39%
Q3 2025$2.96+74%
Q2 2025$2.37+39%
Q1 2025$2.44+103%
Q4 2024$1.90+116%

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 53% for CRTO versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CRTO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$416.5M-11%
Q2 2026$428M-11%
Q1 2026$424.6M-5.9%
Q4 2025$541.1M-2.2%
Q3 2025$469.7M+2.3%
Q2 2025$482.7M+2.4%
Q1 2025$451.4M+0.3%
Q4 2024$553M-2.3%

CRTO's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $416M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over CRTO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRTO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.1M-68%
Q2 2026-$37.9M-$1.3M
Q1 2026$15.4M-66%
Q3 2025$66.6M+16%
Q2 2025-$36.6M-313%
Q1 2025$45.3M+223%
Q3 2024$57.5M+193%
Q2 2024$17.2M+1194%

CRTO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $132M over the past year.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over CRTO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRTO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-751K shares
1 year-10%-5.6M shares
3 years-17%-10.4M shares
5 years-22%-14.4M shares
Available history-24%-15.8M shares

CRTO has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CRTO Net Leverage

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has more cash than debt.

CRTO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRTO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

CRTO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricCRTOSector medianRelative
PE13x16x23% below
PE %392613 pts above

CRTO has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

CRTO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.612% above
20 week MA$17.81.9% below
50 week MA$18.34.5% below
100 week MA$23.526% below
200 week MA$28.739% below

CRTO has stronger trend alignment. CRTO is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

CRTO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$20.8+21%
2021$20.8$37.1+78%
2022$37.1$26.0-30%
2023$26.0$25.3-2.5%
2024$25.3$40.5+60%
2025$40.5$20.0-51%
2026 YTD$20.0$17.4-13%

CRTO has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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