CRTO

Criteo S.A.

50
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

CRTO's fundamentals are weak, but it looks cheap: trading at 13x earnings, below its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CRTO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable

CRTO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRTO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$17.43—
Cheap8.6x$11.90-32%
Current13x$17.43—
Fair19x$26.52+52%
Expensive33x$45.77+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRTO's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CRTO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CRTO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CRTO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$21.06
Downside-43%$9.85

Calculated from the latest close: $17.43 on Nov 12.

CRTO's one-year downside scenario is about twice its upside: −43% against +21%.

CRTO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.59+160%
Q3 2026$1.38-53%
Q2 2026$1.97-17%
Q1 2026$2.14-12%
Q4 2025$2.65+39%
Q3 2025$2.96+74%
Q2 2025$2.37+39%
Q1 2025$2.44+103%
Q4 2024$1.90+116%

CRTO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.38 over the past year, against $2.96 in late 2025.

CRTO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$416.5M-11%
Q2 2026$428M-11%
Q1 2026$424.6M-5.9%
Q4 2025$541.1M-2.2%
Q3 2025$469.7M+2.3%
Q2 2025$482.7M+2.4%
Q1 2025$451.4M+0.3%
Q4 2024$553M-2.3%

CRTO's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $416M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRTO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.1M-68%
Q2 2026-$37.9M-$1.3M
Q1 2026$15.4M-66%
Q3 2025$66.6M+16%
Q2 2025-$36.6M-313%
Q1 2025$45.3M+223%
Q3 2024$57.5M+193%
Q2 2024$17.2M+1194%

CRTO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $132M over the past year.

CRTO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-751K shares
1 year-10%-5.6M shares
3 years-17%-10.4M shares
5 years-22%-14.4M shares
Available history-24%-15.8M shares

CRTO has 50M diluted shares, down 10% from a year ago, with $102M in buybacks over the past year.

CRTO Net Leverage

CRTO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRTO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CRTO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricCRTOSector medianRelative
PE13x16x23% below
PE %392613 pts above

CRTO is trading at 13x earnings, a 23% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

CRTO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.612% above
20 week MA$17.81.9% below
50 week MA$18.34.5% below
100 week MA$23.526% below
200 week MA$28.739% below

CRTO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 39% below its 200-week average.

CRTO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$20.8+21%
2021$20.8$37.1+78%
2022$37.1$26.0-30%
2023$26.0$25.3-2.5%
2024$25.3$40.5+60%
2025$40.5$20.0-51%
2026 YTD$20.0$17.4-13%

CRTO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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