CRTO

Criteo S.A.

50
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

CRTO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over CRTO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CRTO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable

CRTO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CRTO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$17.43—
Cheap8.6x$11.90-32%
Current13x$17.43—
Fair19x$26.52+52%
Expensive33x$45.77+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRTO's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META has the edge over CRTO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRTO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CRTO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRTO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$21.06
Downside-43%$9.85

Calculated from the latest close: $17.43 on Nov 12.

CRTO trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRTO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRTO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.59+160%
Q3 2026$1.38-53%
Q2 2026$1.97-17%
Q1 2026$2.14-12%
Q4 2025$2.65+39%
Q3 2025$2.96+74%
Q2 2025$2.37+39%
Q1 2025$2.44+103%
Q4 2024$1.90+116%

CRTO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.38 over the past year, against $2.96 in late 2025.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

CRTO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$416.5M-11%
Q2 2026$428M-11%
Q1 2026$424.6M-5.9%
Q4 2025$541.1M-2.2%
Q3 2025$469.7M+2.3%
Q2 2025$482.7M+2.4%
Q1 2025$451.4M+0.3%
Q4 2024$553M-2.3%

CRTO's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $416M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over CRTO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRTO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.1M-68%
Q2 2026-$37.9M-$1.3M
Q1 2026$15.4M-66%
Q3 2025$66.6M+16%
Q2 2025-$36.6M-313%
Q1 2025$45.3M+223%
Q3 2024$57.5M+193%
Q2 2024$17.2M+1194%

CRTO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $132M over the past year.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.

CRTO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-751K shares
1 year-10%-5.6M shares
3 years-17%-10.4M shares
5 years-22%-14.4M shares
Available history-24%-15.8M shares

CRTO has the edge over META on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CRTO Net Leverage

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CRTO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRTO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

CRTO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricCRTOSector medianRelative
PE13x16x23% below
PE %392613 pts above

CRTO has the edge over META on valuation relative to its sector.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

CRTO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.612% above
20 week MA$17.81.9% below
50 week MA$18.34.5% below
100 week MA$23.526% below
200 week MA$28.739% below

CRTO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 39% below its 200-week average.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

CRTO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$20.8+21%
2021$20.8$37.1+78%
2022$37.1$26.0-30%
2023$26.0$25.3-2.5%
2024$25.3$40.5+60%
2025$40.5$20.0-51%
2026 YTD$20.0$17.4-13%

CRTO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over CRTO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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