CRTO

Criteo S.A.

50
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

CRTO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over CRTO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CRTO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable

CRTO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CRTO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$17.43—
Cheap8.6x$11.90-32%
Current13x$17.43—
Fair19x$26.52+52%
Expensive33x$45.77+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRTO's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over CRTO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRTO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CRTO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

CRTO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$21.06
Downside-43%$9.85

Calculated from the latest close: $17.43 on Nov 12.

CRTO trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRTO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRTO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $1.20Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $2.44Q2 2025: $2.37Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.14Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $1.38Forward: $3.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.59+160%
Q3 2026$1.38-53%
Q2 2026$1.97-17%
Q1 2026$2.14-12%
Q4 2025$2.65+39%
Q3 2025$2.96+74%
Q2 2025$2.37+39%
Q1 2025$2.44+103%
Q4 2024$1.90+116%

CRTO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.38 over the past year, against $2.96 in late 2025.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CRTO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
Q4 2023: $566MQ1 2024: $450MQ2 2024: $471MQ3 2024: $459MQ4 2024: $553MQ1 2025: $451MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $470MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $425MQ2 2026: $428MQ3 2026: $416M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$416.5M-11%
Q2 2026$428M-11%
Q1 2026$424.6M-5.9%
Q4 2025$541.1M-2.2%
Q3 2025$469.7M+2.3%
Q2 2025$482.7M+2.4%
Q1 2025$451.4M+0.3%
Q4 2024$553M-2.3%

CRTO's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $416M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over CRTO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRTO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $161MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.1M-68%
Q2 2026-$37.9M-$1.3M
Q1 2026$15.4M-66%
Q3 2025$66.6M+16%
Q2 2025-$36.6M-313%
Q1 2025$45.3M+223%
Q3 2024$57.5M+193%
Q2 2024$17.2M+1194%

CRTO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $132M over the past year.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

CRTO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-751K shares
1 year-10%-5.6M shares
3 years-17%-10.4M shares
5 years-22%-14.4M shares
Available history-24%-15.8M shares

CRTO has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

CRTO Net Leverage

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CRTO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRTO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CRTO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricCRTOSector medianRelative
PE13x16x23% below
PE %392613 pts above

CRTO has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CRTO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.612% above
20 week MA$17.81.9% below
50 week MA$18.34.5% below
100 week MA$23.526% below
200 week MA$28.739% below

CRTO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 39% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over CRTO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRTO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$20.8+21%
2021$20.8$37.1+78%
2022$37.1$26.0-30%
2023$26.0$25.3-2.5%
2024$25.3$40.5+60%
2025$40.5$20.0-51%
2026 YTD$20.0$17.4-13%

CRTO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over CRTO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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