CROX

Crocs, Inc.

70
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

CROX has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CROX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CROX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CROX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$97.23-38%
Forward9.9x$157—
Fair11x$146-7.1%
Current12x$157—
Expensive22x$286+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CROX's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CROX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CROX, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CROX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$217.45
Downside-23%$120.36

Calculated from the latest close: $156.88 on Nov 12.

CROX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails CROX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CROX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $12.90Q2 2024: $13.28Q3 2024: $13.77Q4 2024: $15.88Q1 2025: $16.21Q2 2025: $3.62Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $-1.50Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $13.15Forward: $15.91
Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $12.90Q2 2024: $13.28Q3 2024: $13.77Q4 2024: $15.88Q1 2025: $16.21Q2 2025: $3.62Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $-1.50Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $13.15Forward: $15.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.91+21%
Q3 2026$13.15+344%
Q2 2026$11.33+213%
Q1 2026-$1.62-110%
Q4 2025-$1.50-109%
Q3 2025$2.96-79%
Q2 2025$3.62-73%
Q1 2025$16.21+26%
Q4 2024$15.88+24%

CROX has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

CROX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $939MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $990MQ1 2025: $937MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $958MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $939MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $990MQ1 2025: $937MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $958MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+2.6%
Q1 2026$921.5M-1.7%
Q4 2025$957.6M-3.2%
Q3 2025$996.3M-6.2%
Q2 2025$1.1B+3.4%
Q1 2025$937.3M-0.1%
Q4 2024$989.8M+3.1%

CROX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over CROX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CROX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $384MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: −$99MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $276M
Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $384MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: −$99MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $276M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$275.5M+22%
Q2 2026$331M+23%
Q1 2026-$98.9M-$16.3M
Q4 2025$246.4M-19%
Q3 2025$226.2M-19%
Q2 2025$269.2M-30%
Q1 2025-$82.6M-$39.3M
Q4 2024$303.4M-5.3%

CROX has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

CROX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.4%-1.7M shares
1 year-11%-6M shares
3 years-22%-13.7M shares
5 years-24%-15.4M shares
Available history-33%-23.8M shares

CROX has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

CROX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

CROX's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CROX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.6Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

CROX's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CROX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCROXSector medianRelative
PE12x18x34% below
PE %574710 pts above

CROX is trading at 12x earnings, a 34% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CROX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$132.618% above
20 week MA$129.221% above
50 week MA$109.743% above
100 week MA$102.853% above
200 week MA$110.242% above

CROX has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

CROX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$62.7+52%
2021$62.7$123.5+97%
2022$123.5$103.0-17%
2023$103.0$93.4-9.3%
2024$93.4$110.7+19%
2025$110.7$91.6-17%
2026 YTD$91.6$156.9+71%

CROX has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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