CROX

Crocs, Inc.

70
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

CROX's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 18 points to 23% and it turned 18% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 11x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CROX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CROX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CROX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$97.23-38%
Forward9.9x$157—
Fair11x$146-7.1%
Current12x$157—
Expensive22x$286+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CROX's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

CROX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CROX, with profitability improving.

CROX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$217.45
Downside-23%$120.36

Calculated from the latest close: $156.88 on Nov 12.

CROX's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +39% against −23%.

CROX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $12.90Q2 2024: $13.28Q3 2024: $13.77Q4 2024: $15.88Q1 2025: $16.21Q2 2025: $3.62Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $-1.50Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $13.15Forward: $15.91
Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $12.90Q2 2024: $13.28Q3 2024: $13.77Q4 2024: $15.88Q1 2025: $16.21Q2 2025: $3.62Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $-1.50Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $13.15Forward: $15.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.91+21%
Q3 2026$13.15+344%
Q2 2026$11.33+213%
Q1 2026-$1.62-110%
Q4 2025-$1.50-109%
Q3 2025$2.96-79%
Q2 2025$3.62-73%
Q1 2025$16.21+26%
Q4 2024$15.88+24%

CROX earned $13.15 per share over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before.

CROX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $939MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $990MQ1 2025: $937MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $958MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $939MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $990MQ1 2025: $937MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $958MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+2.6%
Q1 2026$921.5M-1.7%
Q4 2025$957.6M-3.2%
Q3 2025$996.3M-6.2%
Q2 2025$1.1B+3.4%
Q1 2025$937.3M-0.1%
Q4 2024$989.8M+3.1%

CROX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

CROX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $384MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: −$99MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $276M
Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $384MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: −$99MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $276M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$275.5M+22%
Q2 2026$331M+23%
Q1 2026-$98.9M-$16.3M
Q4 2025$246.4M-19%
Q3 2025$226.2M-19%
Q2 2025$269.2M-30%
Q1 2025-$82.6M-$39.3M
Q4 2024$303.4M-5.3%

CROX generated $754M in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.

CROX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.4%-1.7M shares
1 year-11%-6M shares
3 years-22%-13.7M shares
5 years-24%-15.4M shares
Available history-33%-23.8M shares

CROX has 48M diluted shares, down 11% from a year ago, with $686M in buybacks over the past year.

CROX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

CROX's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

CROX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.6Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

CROX's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

CROX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCROXSector medianRelative
PE12x18x34% below
PE %574710 pts above

CROX is trading at 12x earnings, a 34% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CROX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$132.618% above
20 week MA$129.221% above
50 week MA$109.743% above
100 week MA$102.853% above
200 week MA$110.242% above

CROX has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 42% above its 200-week average.

CROX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$62.7+52%
2021$62.7$123.5+97%
2022$123.5$103.0-17%
2023$103.0$93.4-9.3%
2024$93.4$110.7+19%
2025$110.7$91.6-17%
2026 YTD$91.6$156.9+71%

CROX is up 71% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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