CROX
Crocs, Inc.
CROX has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CROX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CROX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
CROX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $97.23 | -38% |
| Forward | 9.9x | $157 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $146 | -7.1% |
| Current | 12x | $157 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $286 | +82% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CROX's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over CROX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CROX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
CROX has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CROX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.91 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.15 | +344% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.33 | +213% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.62 | -110% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.50 | -109% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.96 | -79% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.62 | -73% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.21 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.88 | +24% |
CROX has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
CROX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +2.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $921.5M | -1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $957.6M | -3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $996.3M | -6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $937.3M | -0.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $989.8M | +3.1% |
CROX has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +61 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -4.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -37% | -67 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | -1.6 points |
CROX has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CROX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $275.5M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $331M | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | -$98.9M | -$16.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $246.4M | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | $226.2M | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $269.2M | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.6M | -$39.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $303.4M | -5.3% |
CROX has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
CROX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.4% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -11% | -6M shares |
| 3 years | -22% | -13.7M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -15.4M shares |
| Available history | -33% | -23.8M shares |
CROX has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250M |
| Q2 2026 | $256.2M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $180.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $208M |
| Q2 2025 | $133.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $60.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $226.3M |
CROX spent $686M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 9.2% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
CROX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
CROX's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over CROX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CROX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.0 | Overbought |
CROX's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
CROX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CROX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 34% below |
| PE % | 57 | 47 | 10 pts above |
CROX has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CROX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $132.6 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.2 | 21% above |
| 50 week MA | $109.7 | 43% above |
| 100 week MA | $102.8 | 53% above |
| 200 week MA | $110.2 | 42% above |
CROX has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
CROX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.3 | $62.7 | +52% |
| 2021 | $62.7 | $123.5 | +97% |
| 2022 | $123.5 | $103.0 | -17% |
| 2023 | $103.0 | $93.4 | -9.3% |
| 2024 | $93.4 | $110.7 | +19% |
| 2025 | $110.7 | $91.6 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $91.6 | $156.9 | +71% |
CROX has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.