CROX

Crocs, Inc.

70
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

CROX has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CROX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CROX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CROX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.8x20x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$97.23-38%
Forward9.9x$157—
Fair11x$146-7.1%
Current12x$157—
Expensive22x$286+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CROX's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CROX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

CROX has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CROX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$217.45
Downside-23%$120.36

Calculated from the latest close: $156.88 on Nov 12.

CROX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails CROX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CROX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $12.90Q2 2024: $13.28Q3 2024: $13.77Q4 2024: $15.88Q1 2025: $16.21Q2 2025: $3.62Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $-1.50Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $13.15Forward: $15.91
Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $12.90Q2 2024: $13.28Q3 2024: $13.77Q4 2024: $15.88Q1 2025: $16.21Q2 2025: $3.62Q3 2025: $2.96Q4 2025: $-1.50Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $13.15Forward: $15.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.91+21%
Q3 2026$13.15+344%
Q2 2026$11.33+213%
Q1 2026-$1.62-110%
Q4 2025-$1.50-109%
Q3 2025$2.96-79%
Q2 2025$3.62-73%
Q1 2025$16.21+26%
Q4 2024$15.88+24%

CROX has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CROX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $939MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $990MQ1 2025: $937MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $958MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $939MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $990MQ1 2025: $937MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $958MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+2.6%
Q1 2026$921.5M-1.7%
Q4 2025$957.6M-3.2%
Q3 2025$996.3M-6.2%
Q2 2025$1.1B+3.4%
Q1 2025$937.3M-0.1%
Q4 2024$989.8M+3.1%

CROX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over CROX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CROX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $384MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: −$99MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $276M
Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $384MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $246MQ1 2026: −$99MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $276M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$275.5M+22%
Q2 2026$331M+23%
Q1 2026-$98.9M-$16.3M
Q4 2025$246.4M-19%
Q3 2025$226.2M-19%
Q2 2025$269.2M-30%
Q1 2025-$82.6M-$39.3M
Q4 2024$303.4M-5.3%

CROX generated $754M in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over CROX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CROX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.4%-1.7M shares
1 year-11%-6M shares
3 years-22%-13.7M shares
5 years-24%-15.4M shares
Available history-33%-23.8M shares

CROX has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

CROX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

CROX's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over CROX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CROX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.6Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

CROX's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

CROX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCROXSector medianRelative
PE12x18x34% below
PE %574710 pts above

CROX is trading at 12x earnings, a 34% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CROX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$132.618% above
20 week MA$129.221% above
50 week MA$109.743% above
100 week MA$102.853% above
200 week MA$110.242% above

CROX has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

CROX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$62.7+52%
2021$62.7$123.5+97%
2022$123.5$103.0-17%
2023$103.0$93.4-9.3%
2024$93.4$110.7+19%
2025$110.7$91.6-17%
2026 YTD$91.6$156.9+71%

CROX has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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